Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CENT / financials

CENTA (73) VSTS (49) SIG (78) MOV (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$45.10 +1.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.14

Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.82B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CENT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CENT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Central Garden & Pet Company (NASDAQ: CENT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $45.10 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $2.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CENT ranks #323 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CENT compare to CENTA and VSTS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), CENT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.3x, gross margin of 31.9%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, CENTA (Central Garden & Pet Company Nonvoting (Class A)) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.43B) and VSTS (Vestis Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.6%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CENTA leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while SIG leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CENT?

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Per CENT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000887733), Central Garden & Pet Company generated $3.13B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), $162.8M in net income, and $291.1M in free cash flow against $3.64B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.14 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 9.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CENT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CENT SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$40.58+3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$42.04+7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$45.38-0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C$45.10+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CENT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CENT faces multiple-compression risk if 17.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 29.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.70) or 200D SMA ($39.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.11) toward Bear Floor ($35.97).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CENT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CENT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CENT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$291.1M (9.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.31B

FY24

Rev $3.20B

FY25

Rev $3.13B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.13B	31.9%	8%	$162.8M	$291.1M	9.7%
FY 2024	$3.20B	29.5%	5.8%	$108.0M	$351.8M	7%
FY 2023	$3.31B	31.9%	6.4%	$125.6M	$381.6M	9.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CENT)

✓Walkthrough of CENT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CENT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $45.40H $45.95L $45.10C $45.10VOL 90.4K

RES: $47.39SUP: $37.60SMA50: $41.70SMA200: $39.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CENT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CENT Butterfly Map → + Track CENT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CENT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CENT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CENT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CENT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #323 of 1011 ⚔️ CENTA vs CENT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CENT vs. CENTA, VSTS, SIG, MOV)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) ranks #323 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #371 by equity capitalization ($2.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CENTA leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while SIG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.2% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. SIG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CENT at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CENT ACTIVE Central Garden & Pet Company	C	63/100	17.3x	31.9%	9.7%	+1.51%	$2.82B	Benchmark Subject
CENTA Central Garden & Pet Company Nonvoting (Class A)	B	73/100	14.9x	31.9%	9.7%	+1.25%	$2.43B	/centa-vs-cent →
VSTS Vestis Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	2.6%	-0.26%	$2.01B	/vsts-vs-cent →
SIG Signet Jewelers Limited	B+	78/100	15.5x	39.5%	11.2%	+3.21%	$4.56B	/sig-vs-cent →
MOV Movado Group Inc.	B	73/100	26.6x	54.2%	8.5%	+1.77%	$706.4M	/mov-vs-cent →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000887733

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.13B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.20B , and -5.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $162.8M, operating cash flow of $332.5M, and free cash flow of $291.1M (-17.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CENT closed FY2025 with $3.64B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-27	$3.13B	$162.8M	$332.5M	$291.1M	$3.64B	$1.19B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-28	$3.20B	$108.0M	$394.9M	$351.8M	$3.54B	$1.19B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$3.31B	$125.6M	$381.6M	$381.6M	—	—

3. CENT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CENT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CENT compare to CENTA and VSTS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CENT?

Where is CENT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CENT last traded at $45.10 (+1.51% on volume of 76,865 shares), positioning the stock +8.15% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.70) and +13.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.91). Across its 52-week range of $30.22 to $47.36, CENT sits at the 86.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($42.39 to $47.81).

CENT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CENT converted $3.1B of revenue into a 31.9% gross margin, 8% operating margin, and $291.1M in free cash flow (9.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: CENT RQD Cockpit CENT 12M Forecast CENT Earnings & Move CENT Dividends & DRIP CENT Insiders & 13F CENT Whale Options CENT Profit Sankey CENT News & Why