CADIZ Inc. (CDZI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.71 -0.21% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.70

CADIZ Inc. (CDZI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $398.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.70 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (9)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CDZI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDZI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CDZI SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$3.42+13.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$3.87+12.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$4.34+8.5% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$4.71-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (26) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDZI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CDZI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.87) and Max Pain ($4.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.31.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDZIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCDZI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.88% Total Yield
1.28% Cash ($0.06/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 β€’ ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $45,659

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $858/yr
$11.6K
Yr 1
$13.5K
Yr 2
$15.8K
Yr 3
$18.4K
Yr 4
$21.4K
Yr 5
$24.9K
Yr 6
$29.0K
Yr 7
$33.7K
Yr 8
$39.2K
Yr 9
$45.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDZI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CDZI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CDZI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.78%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $4.60H $4.71L $4.41C $4.71VOL 1.18M
RES: $4.79SUP: $3.19SMA50: $3.87SMA200: $4.37
$5.35$4.68$4.01$3.33$2.66RES $4.79SUP $3.19$4.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDZI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDZI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDZI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDZI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDZI)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CDZI vs. CWCO, ARTNA, YORW, PCYO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CADIZ Inc. (CDZI) ranks #108 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #93 by equity capitalization ($398.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARTNA leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with CDZI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDZI ACTIVE
CADIZ Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 31.6% -23.1% -0.21% $398.8M Benchmark Subject
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
B+ 80/100 23.4x 36.6% 14.8% -0.89% $428.5M /cwco-vs-cdzi β†’
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)
D+ 52/100 15.2x β€” 5.2% -0.86% $346.0M /artna-vs-cdzi β†’
YORW
York Water Company
C+ 67/100 25.1x β€” 4.7% -0.61% $504.2M /yorw-vs-cdzi β†’
PCYO
Pure Cycle Corporation
B+ 76/100 19.5x 61.4% 4.4% -0.56% $255.2M /pcyo-vs-cdzi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000727273

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CADIZ Inc. (CDZI) reported GAAP revenue of $16.3M (+69.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.6M , and +719.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.2M, operating cash flow of -$18.9M, and free cash flow of -$26.5M (-18.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDZI closed FY2025 with $140.9M in total assets against $72.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.3M -$34.2M -$18.9M -$26.5M $140.9M $72.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.6M -$31.1M -$21.5M -$22.5M $134.5M $56.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.0M -$31.4M -$20.9M -$20.9M β€” β€”

3. CDZI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDZI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CADIZ Inc. (NASDAQ: CDZI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $4.71 (-0.21% 1D, market cap $398.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CDZI ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDZI compare to CWCO and ARTNA in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), CDZI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -23.1%. By comparison, CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $428.5M) and ARTNA (Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $346.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARTNA leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDZI?

Per CDZI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000727273), CADIZ Inc. generated $16.3M in revenue (+69.8% YoY), -$34.2M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $140.9M in total assets and $72.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDZI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDZI last traded at $4.71 (-0.21% on volume of 2,635,349 shares), positioning the stock +21.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.87) and +7.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.37). Across its 52-week range of $2.87 to $6.96, CDZI sits at the 45.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($4.12 to $5.30).

CDZI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does CDZI pay a dividend and is it safe?

CADIZ Inc. (CDZI) offers a 1.28% cash dividend yield ($0.06 annualized) and 1.88% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

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