MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why CDNL Stock advanced +1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$15.79 +1.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.80
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $765.5M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $15.79 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $765.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $960.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?
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Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.80 (+0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDNL SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$21.12-30.8% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$14.62-5.6% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$13.80+14.4% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade D+$15.79-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CDNL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CDNL faces multiple-compression risk if 33.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.83) or 200D SMA ($43.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.58) toward Bear Floor ($12.15).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CDNL Stock advanced +1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) advanced +1.51% to $15.79, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.05 – $96.4). Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (55% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.05 – $96.4) with RSI-14 at 29.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CDNL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDNL)
- ✓Walkthrough of CDNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CDNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $14.87H $15.79L $14.80C $15.79VOL 747.9K
RES: $25.85SUP: $11.42SMA50: $27.83SMA200: $43.66
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CDNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDNL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDNL)
Industrials Rank #242 of 485
⚔️ YSS vs CDNL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CDNL vs. YSS, PKE, XTND, ORN)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) ranks #242 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #271 by equity capitalization ($765.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CDNL at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNL
ACTIVE
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 55/100 | 33.7x | — | 54.6% | +1.51% | $765.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| YSS York Space Systems Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +6.07% | $960.1M | /yss-vs-cdnl → |
| PKE Park Aerospace Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | — | 30.9% | 19.0% | +1.34% | $584.9M | /pke-vs-cdnl → |
| XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.47% | $475.7M | /xtnd-vs-cdnl → |
| ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common | D | 50/100 | 148.9x | 12.4% | 7.1% | +9.76% | $370.4M | /orn-vs-cdnl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079999In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.7M, operating cash flow of $37.9M, and free cash flow of -$5.9M (-127.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDNL closed FY2025 with $394.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $22.7M | $37.9M | -$5.9M | $394.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $21.4M | $42.6M | $21.9M | $140.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $20.6M | $30.9M | $30.9M | — | — |
3. CDNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $15.79 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $765.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $960.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?
Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CDNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CDNL last traded at $15.79 (+1.51% on volume of 708,722 shares), positioning the stock -43.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.83) and -63.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.66). Across its 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.40, CDNL sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.82 to $17.76).
CDNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CDNL stock moving today?
Why CDNL Stock advanced +1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (55% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.