Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$15.79 +1.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.80

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $765.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.80 (+0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$101 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE CDNL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDNL SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$21.12-30.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$14.62-5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$13.80+14.4% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$15.79-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CDNL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CDNL faces multiple-compression risk if 33.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.83) or 200D SMA ($43.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.58) toward Bear Floor ($12.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CDNL Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CDNL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CDNL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDNL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CDNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CDNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $14.87H $15.79L $14.80C $15.79VOL 747.9K
RES: $25.85SUP: $11.42SMA50: $27.83SMA200: $43.66
$102.2$78.06$53.89$29.72$5.55RES $25.85SUP $11.42$15.792026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDNL)

Industrials Rank #242 of 485 ⚔️ YSS vs CDNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CDNL vs. YSS, PKE, XTND, ORN)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) ranks #242 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #271 by equity capitalization ($765.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CDNL at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDNL ACTIVE
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 55/100 33.7x — 54.6% +1.51% $765.5M Benchmark Subject
YSS
York Space Systems Inc.
C 62/100 — — — +6.07% $960.1M /yss-vs-cdnl →
PKE
Park Aerospace Corp.
C+ 67/100 — 30.9% 19.0% +1.34% $584.9M /pke-vs-cdnl →
XTND
Xtend AI Robotics Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -3.47% $475.7M /xtnd-vs-cdnl →
ORN
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common
D 50/100 148.9x 12.4% 7.1% +9.76% $370.4M /orn-vs-cdnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079999

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.7M, operating cash flow of $37.9M, and free cash flow of -$5.9M (-127.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDNL closed FY2025 with $394.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $22.7M $37.9M -$5.9M $394.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $21.4M $42.6M $21.9M $140.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $20.6M $30.9M $30.9M — —

3. CDNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $15.79 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $765.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $960.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?

Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDNL last traded at $15.79 (+1.51% on volume of 708,722 shares), positioning the stock -43.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.83) and -63.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.66). Across its 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.40, CDNL sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.82 to $17.76).

CDNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CDNL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CDNL leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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