MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why CDLX Stock surged +2.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.64 +2.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64
Cardlytics Inc. (CDLX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $9.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64 (+0.26%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDLX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDLX SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.1% FCF Margin ($8.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$2.06-1.5% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$2.03-11.3% Next Q
58
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$1.80-8.9% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade D+$1.64-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDLX Turnaround Squeeze
While CDLX currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.02) and Max Pain ($1.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.48.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDLX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDLX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CDLX Stock surged +2.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cardlytics Inc. (CDLX) surged +2.50% to $1.64, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.57 – $19.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.57 – $19.5) with RSI-14 at 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.64 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $8.8M annual free cash flow.
Live CDLX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDLX)
- ✓Walkthrough of CDLX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CDLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.64H $1.88L $1.60C $1.64VOL 148.6K
RES: $2.88SUP: $1.32SMA50: $3.02SMA200: $6.19
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CDLX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDLX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDLX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDLX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDLX)
Technology Rank #363 of 714
⚔️ GIGM vs CDLX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CDLX vs. GIGM, GMM, IPM, GITS)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cardlytics Inc. (CDLX) ranks #363 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #646 by equity capitalization ($9.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDLX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IPM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -29.6% ROIC and 52.3% gross margin. GMM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with CDLX at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDLX
ACTIVE
Cardlytics Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.50% | $9.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| GIGM GigaMedia Limited | E | 31/100 | — | 52.4% | -34.2% | -1.60% | $13.6M | /gigm-vs-cdlx → |
| GMM Global Mofy AI Limited (Class A) | C- | 61/100 | — | 40.2% | — | +3.67% | $14.4M | /gmm-vs-cdlx → |
| IPM Intelligent Protection Management Corp. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 52.3% | -29.6% | +0.40% | $15.5M | /ipm-vs-cdlx → |
| GITS Global Interactive Technologies Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 96.0% | -35.0% | +5.97% | $6.0M | /gits-vs-cdlx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001666071In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cardlytics Inc. (CDLX) reported GAAP revenue of $212.3M (-16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $255.6M , and -25.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$104.0M, operating cash flow of $9.3M, and free cash flow of $8.8M (+184.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDLX closed FY2025 with $285.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $212.3M | -$104.0M | $9.3M | $8.8M | $285.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $255.6M | -$189.0M | -$8.8M | -$10.4M | $392.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $285.4M | -$135.0M | -$185.0K | -$185.0K | — | — |
3. CDLX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CDLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cardlytics Inc. (NASDAQ: CDLX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.64 (+2.50% 1D, market cap $9.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CDLX ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CDLX compare to GIGM and GMM in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), CDLX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GIGM (GigaMedia Limited) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $13.6M) and GMM (Global Mofy AI Limited (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $14.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDLX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPM leads on capital efficiency (-29.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDLX?
Per CDLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001666071), Cardlytics Inc. generated $212.3M in revenue (-16.9% YoY), -$104.0M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $285.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CDLX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CDLX last traded at $1.64 (+2.50% on volume of 25,293 shares), positioning the stock -45.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.02) and -73.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.19). Across its 52-week range of $1.57 to $19.50, CDLX sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.44 to $1.84).
CDLX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CDLX stock moving today?
Why CDLX Stock surged +2.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.