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Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$51.40 +1.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.41

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $337.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.41 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBNA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CBNA SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$49.25+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$49.26+3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$51.00+0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$51.40-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CBNA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CBNA currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.93) and Max Pain ($53.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $59.28.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBNA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CBNA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CBNA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $51.40: 194.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $39.19

$7,625

$-2,375 (-23.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $50.24

$9,774

$-226 (-2.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $59.28

$11,533

+$1,533 (+15.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$52	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$56	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$45	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBNA)

✓Walkthrough of CBNA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CBNA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.32%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $50.65H $51.40L $50.10C $51.40VOL 10.0K

RES: $55.58SUP: $47.64SMA50: $47.93SMA200: $40.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBNA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CBNA Butterfly Map → + Track CBNA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBNA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBNA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBNA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBNA)

Financials Rank #745 of 1096 ⚔️ BCML vs CBNA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBNA vs. BCML, COSO, JMSB, NEWT)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) ranks #745 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #786 by equity capitalization ($337.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEWT leads on earnings valuation at 5.3x trailing P/E, while NEWT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and — gross margin. COSO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CBNA at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CBNA ACTIVE Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	16.7x	—	12.0%	+1.14%	$337.3M	Benchmark Subject
BCML BayCom Corp	C+	68/100	14.1x	—	7.1%	+0.95%	$336.6M	/bcml-vs-cbna →
COSO CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc.	B-	71/100	13.2x	—	9.6%	+0.50%	$328.3M	/coso-vs-cbna →
JMSB John Marshall Bancorp Inc.	C+	67/100	15.4x	—	8.0%	+1.18%	$326.8M	/jmsb-vs-cbna →
NEWT NewtekOne Inc.	D	47/100	5.3x	—	15.2%	-3.93%	$318.0M	/newt-vs-cbna →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001392272

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $20.2M, operating cash flow of $15.6M, and free cash flow of $11.5M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBNA closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$20.2M	$15.6M	$11.5M	$1.75B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$20.9M	$21.8M	$21.6M	$1.40B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$8.8M	$12.8M	$12.8M	—	—

3. CBNA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: CBNA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $51.40 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $337.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBNA ranks #745 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBNA compare to BCML and COSO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNA carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BCML (BayCom Corp) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $336.6M) and COSO (CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $328.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEWT leads on earnings multiple (5.3x) while NEWT leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNA?

Per CBNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001392272), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $20.2M in net income, and $11.5M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBNA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBNA last traded at $51.40 (+1.14% on volume of 20,350 shares), positioning the stock +7.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.93) and +26.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.54). Across its 52-week range of $28.14 to $54.11, CBNA sits at the 89.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($47.03 to $55.77).

CBNA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CBNA's 12-month stock price target?

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $50.24 (-2.3% from $51.40), with a bull-case target of $59.28 and a bear-case floor of $39.19.

Is CBNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CBNA D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CBNA RQD Cockpit CBNA 12M Forecast CBNA Earnings & Move CBNA Dividends & DRIP CBNA Insiders & 13F CBNA Whale Options CBNA Profit Sankey CBNA News & Why