Bioventus Inc. (Class A) (BVS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.87 +1.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.88

Bioventus Inc. (Class A) (BVS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.25B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.88 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$18 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE BVS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BVS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BVS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 89% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$13.06+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$13.30+12.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$14.96-0.6% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$14.87+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BVS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, BVS faces multiple-compression risk if 55.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 65.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.70) or 200D SMA ($10.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.41) toward Bear Floor ($12.02).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BVS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BVS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±8.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BVS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BVS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BVS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BVS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BVS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +50.66%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $14.84H $14.87L $13.32C $14.87VOL 666.7K
RES: $15.36SUP: $12.85SMA50: $13.70SMA200: $10.90
$16.46$14.10$11.74$9.38$7.02RES $15.36SUP $12.85$14.872026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BVS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
39.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BVS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BVS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BVS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BVS)

Health Care Rank #129 of 1016 ⚔️ DRTS vs BVS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BVS vs. DRTS, PRCT, AORT, TNDM)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bioventus Inc. (Class A) (BVS) ranks #129 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #332 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BVS leads on earnings valuation at 55.0x trailing P/E, while BVS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.4% ROIC and 68.3% gross margin. BVS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BVS ACTIVE
Bioventus Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 55.0x 68.3% 10.4% +1.50% $1.25B Benchmark Subject
DRTS
Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -0.90% $1.22B /drts-vs-bvs →
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation
D 48/100 — 63.7% -35.0% +0.50% $1.16B /prct-vs-bvs →
AORT
Artivion Inc.
D+ 54/100 117.0x 64.4% 4.5% +2.27% $1.14B /aort-vs-bvs →
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care Inc.
D- 35/100 — 53.8% -35.0% +0.56% $1.38B /tndm-vs-bvs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001665988

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bioventus Inc. (Class A) (BVS) reported GAAP revenue of $568.1M (-0.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $573.3M , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.7M, operating cash flow of $74.7M, and free cash flow of $72.1M (+90.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BVS closed FY2025 with $683.6M in total assets against $279.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $568.1M $22.7M $74.7M $72.1M $683.6M $279.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $573.3M -$36.1M $38.8M $37.8M $728.0M $308.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $512.3M -$156.2M $15.3M $15.3M — —

3. BVS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bioventus Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BVS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $14.87 (+1.50% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BVS ranks #129 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BVS compare to DRTS and PRCT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), BVS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.0x, gross margin of 68.3%, and ROIC of 10.4%. By comparison, DRTS (Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.22B) and PRCT (PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BVS leads on earnings multiple (55.0x) while BVS leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BVS?

Per BVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001665988), Bioventus Inc. (Class A) generated $568.1M in revenue (-0.9% YoY), $22.7M in net income, and $72.1M in free cash flow against $683.6M in total assets and $279.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BVS last traded at $14.87 (+1.50% on volume of 444,933 shares), positioning the stock +8.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.70) and +36.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.90). Across its 52-week range of $6.47 to $15.89, BVS sits at the 89.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($13.59 to $16.15).

BVS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BVS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BVS.

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