MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why BUSE Stock advanced +0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$29.47 +0.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.46
First Busey Corporation (Class A) (BUSE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.45B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BUSE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BUSE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, First Busey Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: BUSE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $29.47 (+0.79% 1D, market cap $2.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BUSE ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BUSE compare to SYBT and MBIN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BUSE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, SYBT (Stock Yards Bancorp Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $2.44B) and MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $2.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBIN leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while SYBT leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BUSE?
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Per BUSE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000314489), First Busey Corporation (Class A) generated $719.6M in revenue (+55.7% YoY), $135.3M in net income, and $173.0M in free cash flow against $18.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.46 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 24% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BUSE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BUSE SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 77% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$28.93+1.7% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$29.43+3.1% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$30.33-2.8% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C+$29.47+2% Hist 90D α
69
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BUSE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, BUSE faces multiple-compression risk if 18.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.86) or 200D SMA ($27.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.93) toward Bear Floor ($24.13).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BUSE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BUSE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BUSE Stock advanced +0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
First Busey Corporation (Class A) (BUSE) advanced +0.79% to $29.47, trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($22.12 – $31.7). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($22.12 – $31.7) with RSI-14 at 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.1% around $29.47 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $173.0M annual free cash flow.
Live BUSE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BUSE Tape Review)
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- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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BUSE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.48%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $29.47H $29.47L $28.71C $29.47VOL 1.09M
RES: $30.72SUP: $28.60SMA50: $29.86SMA200: $27.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BUSE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +55.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BUSE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BUSE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BUSE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BUSE)
Financials Rank #180 of 1096
⚔️ SYBT vs BUSE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BUSE vs. SYBT, MBIN, BANR, FRME)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Busey Corporation (Class A) (BUSE) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #399 by equity capitalization ($2.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MBIN leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while SYBT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SYBT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with BUSE at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUSE
ACTIVE
First Busey Corporation (Class A) | C+ | 69/100 | 18.1x | — | 5.5% | +0.79% | $2.45B | Benchmark Subject |
| SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp Inc. | B | 73/100 | 17.4x | — | 13.0% | +2.46% | $2.44B | /sybt-vs-buse → |
| MBIN Merchants Bancorp | D+ | 52/100 | 10.9x | — | 9.6% | +5.84% | $2.39B | /mbin-vs-buse → |
| BANR Banner Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 3.8% | +0.93% | $2.54B | /banr-vs-buse → |
| FRME First Merchants Corporation | B- | 71/100 | 11.4x | — | 9.2% | +1.06% | $2.58B | /frme-vs-buse → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000314489In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Busey Corporation (Class A) (BUSE) reported GAAP revenue of $719.6M (+55.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $462.3M , and +62.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $135.3M, operating cash flow of $192.6M, and free cash flow of $173.0M (+0.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BUSE closed FY2025 with $18.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $719.6M | $135.3M | $192.6M | $173.0M | $18.10B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $462.3M | $113.7M | $178.3M | $171.8M | $12.05B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $441.8M | $122.6M | $173.4M | $173.4M | — | — |
3. BUSE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BUSE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, First Busey Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: BUSE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $29.47 (+0.79% 1D, market cap $2.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BUSE ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BUSE compare to SYBT and MBIN in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BUSE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, SYBT (Stock Yards Bancorp Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $2.44B) and MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $2.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBIN leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while SYBT leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BUSE?
Per BUSE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000314489), First Busey Corporation (Class A) generated $719.6M in revenue (+55.7% YoY), $135.3M in net income, and $173.0M in free cash flow against $18.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BUSE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BUSE last traded at $29.47 (+0.79% on volume of 848,917 shares), positioning the stock -1.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.86) and +5.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.93). Across its 52-week range of $22.12 to $31.70, BUSE sits at the 76.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($28.26 to $30.68).
BUSE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BUSE stock moving today?
Why BUSE Stock advanced +0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.