Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BRSL / options

GENI (48) PRSU (46) PRKS (63) STUB (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.60 +3.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.64

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.77B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.64 (+0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRSL SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$9.84-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$9.50-0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.48+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$9.60-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRSL currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.31) and Max Pain ($10.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BRSL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BRSL.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSL)

✓Walkthrough of BRSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BRSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.60H $9.68L $9.48C $9.60VOL 1.62M

RES: $12.28SUP: $9.03SMA50: $10.31SMA200: $11.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRSL Butterfly Map → + Track BRSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #659 of 1011 ⚔️ GENI vs BRSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRSL vs. GENI, PRSU, PRKS, STUB)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) ranks #659 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #431 by equity capitalization ($1.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRKS leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while PRKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRKS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BRSL at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRSL ACTIVE Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.	D	49/100	12.0x	—	16.8%	+3.34%	$1.77B	Benchmark Subject
GENI Genius Sports Limited	D	48/100	—	23.0%	-26.9%	+1.73%	$1.73B	/geni-vs-brsl →
PRSU Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.	D	46/100	66.4x	92.3%	3.9%	+3.04%	$1.51B	/prsu-vs-brsl →
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc.	C	63/100	8.5x	—	17.2%	+1.97%	$1.43B	/prks-vs-brsl →
STUB StubHub Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	—	-35.0%	+3.93%	$2.22B	/stub-vs-brsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001619762

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.0M, operating cash flow of -$99.0M, and free cash flow of -$99.0M (-109.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSL closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.51B	$147.0M	-$99.0M	-$99.0M	$9.16B	$4.06B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.51B	$348.0M	$1.05B	$1.05B	$10.28B	$5.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.53B	$156.0M	$1.01B	$1.01B	—	—

3. BRSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $9.60 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $1.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.73B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRSL last traded at $9.60 (+3.34% on volume of 2,228,382 shares), positioning the stock -6.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.31) and -18.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.75). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $17.59, BRSL sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($8.96 to $10.24).

BRSL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BRSL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BRSL.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRSL RQD Cockpit BRSL 12M Forecast BRSL Earnings & Move BRSL Dividends & DRIP BRSL Insiders & 13F BRSL Whale Options BRSL Profit Sankey BRSL News & Why