Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
While BRSL currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.31) and Max Pain ($10.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.47.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) surged +3.34% to $9.60, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($9.1 – $17.59). Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Rush Street Interactive (RSI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +7.14% and -1.69%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas maintains Brightstar Lottery (NYSE:BRSL) with a Hold and lowers the price target from $13 to $11.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) ranks #659 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #431 by equity capitalization ($1.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRKS leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while PRKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRKS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BRSL at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRSL
ACTIVE
Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. | D | 49/100 | 12.0x | — | 16.8% | +3.34% | $1.77B | Benchmark Subject |
| GENI Genius Sports Limited | D | 48/100 | — | 23.0% | -26.9% | +1.73% | $1.73B | /geni-vs-brsl → |
| PRSU Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc. | D | 46/100 | 66.4x | 92.3% | 3.9% | +3.04% | $1.51B | /prsu-vs-brsl → |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | C | 63/100 | 8.5x | — | 17.2% | +1.97% | $1.43B | /prks-vs-brsl → |
| STUB StubHub Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +3.93% | $2.22B | /stub-vs-brsl → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.0M, operating cash flow of -$99.0M, and free cash flow of -$99.0M (-109.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSL closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.51B | $147.0M | -$99.0M | -$99.0M | $9.16B | $4.06B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.51B | $348.0M | $1.05B | $1.05B | $10.28B | $5.15B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.53B | $156.0M | $1.01B | $1.01B | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $9.60 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $1.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.73B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).
Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
BRSL last traded at $9.60 (+3.34% on volume of 2,228,382 shares), positioning the stock -6.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.31) and -18.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.75). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $17.59, BRSL sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($8.96 to $10.24).
Why BRSL Stock surged +3.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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