Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BRLT / insiders

ELA (70) FOSL (39) MOV (73) VSTS (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) (BRLT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.59 +2.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59

Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) (BRLT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $161.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59 (+0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRLT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRLT SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.20 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.58-7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.47+2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.51+5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.59-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRLT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRLT currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.42) and Max Pain ($1.67) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRLT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRLT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BRLT Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BRLT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BRLT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRLT)

✓Walkthrough of BRLT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BRLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.71%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.58H $1.60L $1.52C $1.59VOL 57.7K

RES: $1.72SUP: $1.10SMA50: $1.42SMA200: $1.34

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRLT Butterfly Map → + Track BRLT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRLT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRLT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #711 of 1011 ⚔️ ELA vs BRLT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRLT vs. ELA, FOSL, MOV, VSTS)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) (BRLT) ranks #711 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #719 by equity capitalization ($161.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELA leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. MOV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with BRLT at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRLT ACTIVE Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	57.5%	-35.0%	+2.58%	$161.9M	Benchmark Subject
ELA Envela Corporation	B-	70/100	20.2x	22.4%	20.7%	+2.15%	$295.5M	/ela-vs-brlt →
FOSL Fossil Group Inc.	D-	39/100	—	56.1%	-7.2%	+3.01%	$405.1M	/fosl-vs-brlt →
MOV Movado Group Inc.	B	73/100	26.6x	54.2%	8.5%	+1.77%	$706.4M	/mov-vs-brlt →
VSTS Vestis Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	2.6%	-0.26%	$2.01B	/vsts-vs-brlt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001866757

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) (BRLT) reported GAAP revenue of $437.5M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $422.2M , and -2.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.6M, operating cash flow of $9.7M, and free cash flow of $5.8M (-54.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRLT closed FY2025 with $200.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$437.5M	-$3.6M	$9.7M	$5.8M	$200.9M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$422.2M	$541.0K	$17.6M	$12.7M	$281.2M	$50.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$446.4M	$584.0K	$26.2M	$26.2M	—	—

3. BRLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BRLT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.59 (+2.58% 1D, market cap $161.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRLT ranks #711 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRLT compare to ELA and FOSL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), BRLT carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ELA (Envela Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $295.5M) and FOSL (Fossil Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $405.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELA leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRLT?

Per BRLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866757), Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) generated $437.5M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), -$3.6M in net income, and $5.8M in free cash flow against $200.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRLT last traded at $1.59 (+2.58% on volume of 16,212 shares), positioning the stock +11.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.42) and +18.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.34). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $2.90, BRLT sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.39 to $1.79).

BRLT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are BRLT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BRLT leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRLT RQD Cockpit BRLT 12M Forecast BRLT Earnings & Move BRLT Dividends & DRIP BRLT Insiders & 13F BRLT Whale Options BRLT Profit Sankey BRLT News & Why