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Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.06 -7.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.00

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.25B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.00 (-1.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 24.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BORR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BORR SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.7% FCF Margin ($251.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.78-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$4.54-3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.40-7.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.06-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BORR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BORR currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.35) and Max Pain ($4.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BORR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BORR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BORR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BORR.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BORR)

✓Walkthrough of BORR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BORR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.67%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $3.99H $4.15L $3.91C $4.06VOL 7.71M

RES: $5.35SUP: $3.87SMA50: $4.35SMA200: $4.89

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BORR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BORR Butterfly Map → + Track BORR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BORR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BORR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BORR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BORR)

Energy Rank #128 of 211 ⚔️ HPK vs BORR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BORR vs. HPK, PDS, REPX, TBN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #134 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BORR at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BORR ACTIVE Borr Drilling Limited	D+	53/100	27.8x	—	8.9%	-7.52%	$1.25B	Benchmark Subject
HPK HighPeak Energy Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	4.6%	-4.83%	$1.32B	/hpk-vs-borr →
PDS Precision Drilling Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+2.10%	$1.35B	/pds-vs-borr →
REPX Riley Exploration Permian Inc.	C+	68/100	7.2x	—	12.2%	-0.02%	$1.15B	/repx-vs-borr →
TBN Tamboran Resources Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	-10.1%	-1.14%	$1.10B	/tbn-vs-borr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001715497

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.02B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +32.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $45.0M, operating cash flow of $251.9M, and free cash flow of $251.9M (+225.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BORR closed FY2025 with $3.63B in total assets against $2.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.02B	$45.0M	$251.9M	$251.9M	$3.63B	$2.02B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.01B	$82.1M	$77.3M	$77.3M	$3.42B	$1.99B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$771.6M	$22.1M	-$50.7M	-$50.7M	—	—

3. BORR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BORR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Borr Drilling Limited (NYSE: BORR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.06 (-7.52% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BORR ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BORR compare to HPK and PDS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BORR carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, HPK (HighPeak Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.32B) and PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BORR?

Per BORR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001715497), Borr Drilling Limited generated $1.02B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $45.0M in net income, and $251.9M in free cash flow against $3.63B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BORR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BORR last traded at $4.06 (-7.52% on volume of 11,265,290 shares), positioning the stock -6.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.35) and -16.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.89). Across its 52-week range of $2.89 to $6.66, BORR sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.55 to $4.57).

BORR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BORR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BORR.

Direct Sub-Reports: BORR RQD Cockpit BORR 12M Forecast BORR Earnings & Move BORR Dividends & DRIP BORR Insiders & 13F BORR Whale Options BORR Profit Sankey BORR News & Why