Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$4.06 -7.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.00

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.25B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.00 (-1.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 24.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE BORR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BORR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BORR SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.7% FCF Margin ($251.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$4.78-5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$4.54-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$4.40-7.7% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$4.06-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BORR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BORR currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.35) and Max Pain ($4.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BORR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BORR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.51 Expected Swing
$3.55 (-12.5%)Spot $4.06$4.57 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BORR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $0.15 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.02B$45.0M$251.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.01B$82.1M$77.3M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$771.6M$22.1M-$50.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BORR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BORR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BORR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.67%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.99H $4.15L $3.91C $4.06VOL 7.71M
RES: $5.35SUP: $3.87SMA50: $4.35SMA200: $4.89
$6.86$6.02$5.18$4.33$3.49RES $5.35SUP $3.87$4.062026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BORR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BORR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BORR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BORR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BORR)

Energy Rank #128 of 211 ⚔️ HPK vs BORR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BORR vs. HPK, PDS, REPX, TBN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #134 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BORR at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BORR ACTIVE
Borr Drilling Limited
D+ 53/100 27.8x — 8.9% -7.52% $1.25B Benchmark Subject
HPK
HighPeak Energy Inc.
D 44/100 — — 4.6% -4.83% $1.32B /hpk-vs-borr →
PDS
Precision Drilling Corporation
D+ 58/100 — — — +2.10% $1.35B /pds-vs-borr →
REPX
Riley Exploration Permian Inc.
C+ 68/100 7.2x — 12.2% -0.02% $1.15B /repx-vs-borr →
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
D 45/100 — — -10.1% -1.14% $1.10B /tbn-vs-borr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001715497

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.02B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +32.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $45.0M, operating cash flow of $251.9M, and free cash flow of $251.9M (+225.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BORR closed FY2025 with $3.63B in total assets against $2.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.02B $45.0M $251.9M $251.9M $3.63B $2.02B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.01B $82.1M $77.3M $77.3M $3.42B $1.99B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $771.6M $22.1M -$50.7M -$50.7M — —

3. BORR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BORR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Borr Drilling Limited (NYSE: BORR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.06 (-7.52% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BORR ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BORR compare to HPK and PDS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BORR carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, HPK (HighPeak Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.32B) and PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BORR?

Per BORR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001715497), Borr Drilling Limited generated $1.02B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $45.0M in net income, and $251.9M in free cash flow against $3.63B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BORR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BORR last traded at $4.06 (-7.52% on volume of 11,265,290 shares), positioning the stock -6.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.35) and -16.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.89). Across its 52-week range of $2.89 to $6.66, BORR sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.55 to $4.57).

BORR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BORR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BORR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for BORR, spanning a range between $3.55 and $4.57.

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