Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.59 -13.06% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.40

Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $540.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BLZE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BLZE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $7.59 (-13.06% 1D, market cap $540.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BLZE ranks #537 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BLZE compare to MTC and DDD in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BLZE carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 60.9%, and ROIC of -34.5%. By comparison, MTC (MMTec Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $500.9M) and DDD (3D Systems Corporation) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC -32.8%, cap $486.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MOMO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLZE?
β–Ό

Per BLZE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001462056), Backblaze Inc. (Class A) generated $145.8M in revenue (+14.3% YoY), -$25.6M in net income, and $18.9M in free cash flow against $191.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.40 (-2.54%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 12.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (4)SEC (7)Macro (6)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target
$25 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BLZE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLZE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BLZE SCORES 35/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.9% FCF Margin ($18.9M FCF) & 60.9% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+8/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 40% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$12.65-26.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$9.29-7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$8.59-11.6% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$7.59-8.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D- (35)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BLZE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BLZE currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.32) and Max Pain ($7.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.19.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BLZEβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBLZE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BLZE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BLZE.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BLZE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BLZE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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BLZE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +63.58%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $9.09H $9.09L $7.59C $7.59VOL 1.82M
RES: $13.36SUP: $13.47SMA50: $12.32SMA200: $9.21
$25.40$19.55$13.70$7.85$2.00RES $13.36SUP $13.47$7.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLZE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLZE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLZE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLZE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLZE)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BLZE vs. MTC, DDD, IIIV, MOMO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) ranks #537 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #413 by equity capitalization ($540.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDD leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while MOMO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and 37.8% gross margin. MOMO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BLZE at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BLZE ACTIVE
Backblaze Inc. (Class A)
D- 35/100 β€” 60.9% -34.5% -13.06% $540.4M Benchmark Subject
MTC
MMTec Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 21.6% -12.0% -1.79% $500.9M /mtc-vs-blze β†’
DDD
3D Systems Corporation
E 29/100 16.3x 33.9% -32.8% -5.12% $486.8M /ddd-vs-blze β†’
IIIV
i3 Verticals Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 25.5x β€” 0.9% +1.56% $455.6M /iiiv-vs-blze β†’
MOMO
Hello Group Inc.
D+ 58/100 β€” 37.8% 18.6% -1.13% $656.0M /momo-vs-blze β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001462056

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) reported GAAP revenue of $145.8M (+14.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $127.6M , and +42.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$25.6M, operating cash flow of $23.5M, and free cash flow of $18.9M (+74.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLZE closed FY2025 with $191.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $145.8M -$25.6M $23.5M $18.9M $191.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $127.6M -$48.5M $12.5M $10.8M $168.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $102.0M -$59.7M -$7.3M -$7.3M β€” β€”

3. BLZE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLZE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BLZE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $7.59 (-13.06% 1D, market cap $540.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BLZE ranks #537 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLZE compare to MTC and DDD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BLZE carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 60.9%, and ROIC of -34.5%. By comparison, MTC (MMTec Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $500.9M) and DDD (3D Systems Corporation) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC -32.8%, cap $486.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MOMO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLZE?

Per BLZE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001462056), Backblaze Inc. (Class A) generated $145.8M in revenue (+14.3% YoY), -$25.6M in net income, and $18.9M in free cash flow against $191.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLZE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLZE last traded at $7.59 (-13.06% on volume of 2,226,338 shares), positioning the stock -38.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.32) and -17.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.21). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $23.99, BLZE sits at the 20.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($6.64 to $8.54).

BLZE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is BLZE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BLZE.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 35/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BLZE β€” Backblaze Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:35:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BLZE scores 35 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 10 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -34.5% and an FCF yield of 3.49%. This suggests that, on the rating's framework, the core business is not yet generating returns on invested capital, though it is producing positive free cash flow relative to its market value. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 4 of 20, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning; the source does not provide the underlying 13F or options figures, so the low score cannot be traced to specific holder activity here. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 8 of 20, referencing SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, but no insider transaction records are included in the source data. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 6 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and a sector-sensitivity reference. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 7 of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 1.75, a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the positive free cash flow and the reported improvement in FCF across the three fiscal years presented, while the valuation tradeoff is that earnings-based multiples cannot be assessed because P/E and EPS are not available in source data. The rating's weakest inputs, institutional flow and insider conviction, lack supporting detail in the source, so the investor should treat those scores as unverified within this dataset.

Business

Backblaze Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond the reported financial totals. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $145.8M for FY 2025, up from $127.6M in FY 2024 and $102.0M in FY 2023. Gross margin is reported at 60.9%, indicating a product-level margin structure that the source does not further explain.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$145.8M$-23.6M$-25.6MN/A$18.9M$29.2MN/A
FY 2024$127.6M$-46.3M$-48.5MN/A$10.8M$45.8MN/A
FY 2023$102.0M$-57.9M$-59.7MN/A$-7.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating losses narrowed from $-57.9M in FY 2023 to $-23.6M in FY 2025, and free cash flow moved from $-7.3M to $18.9M over the same span. Reported operating margin is -16.2% and net margin is -17.6%, with ROIC at -34.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.75 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 out of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Cash declined from $45.8M in FY 2024 to $29.2M in FY 2025, and the source reports a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 with total debt not itemized in the financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, several headlines reference Backblaze, including a Yahoo Finance item titled "Earnings To Watch: Backblaze Inc (BLZE) Q3 2026 -- GF Value Sees 14% Downside," a Simply Wall St forecast piece, a TradingView estimates page, and a kalkine.ca report describing a 22.26% decline on October 14 that refers to a USD 335 Million CoreWeave deal and funding concerns. A Moomoo item reports that B. Riley Securities maintains a Buy rating with a $24 target price. All news items are flagged YELLOW in the source. Risk watch items include the referenced funding concerns tied to the CoreWeave deal and the stock's sharp reported volatility. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency mapping, no sector correlation data beyond the Technology/Prepackaged Software classification, and no identified 2nd-order bottlenecks. The only ripple referenced in the news wire is the CoreWeave deal and associated funding concern noted in the kalkine.ca headline, which a prospective investor should examine against independent sources.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms, counterparties, and funding structure of the referenced CoreWeave arrangement, and how material is it to revenue and cash?
  • What is the total debt balance, given that the financials report debt as N/A while the Debt/Equity ratio is stated at 0.5?
  • Why are EPS and earnings-based valuation multiples unavailable, and what would they show relative to the $8.73 price?
  • What drove the cash decline from $45.8M to $29.2M despite positive reported free cash flow in FY 2025?
  • What institutional, insider, and options positioning underlies the low Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillar scores?

BLZE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BLZE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BLZE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.59?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BLZE 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BLZE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.68 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BLZE (D- β€’ RQD 35/100) a Buy at $8.73?

Welcome to the BLZE (Backblaze Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.55 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $8.73

Pump the brakes on BLZE β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BLZE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 60.9% gross margins. Unless Backblaze Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.30 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $8.73

BLZE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BLZE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.73 (52-wk range $3.26 - $23.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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