Stock Ratings / Technology / BLZE / earnings

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Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Is BLZE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BLZE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $8.73 (-4.01% 1D, market cap $540.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BLZE ranks #555 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does BLZE compare to MTC and DDD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BLZE carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 60.9%, and ROIC of -34.5%. By comparison, MTC (MMTec Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $500.9M) and DDD (3D Systems Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC -32.8%, cap $486.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MOMO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLZE?

Per BLZE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001462056), Backblaze Inc. (Class A) generated $145.8M in revenue (+14.3% YoY), -$25.6M in net income, and $18.9M in free cash flow against $191.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is BLZE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLZE last traded at $8.73 (-4.01% on volume of 1,821,749 shares), positioning the stock -29.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.46) and -5.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.20). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $23.99, BLZE sits at the 26.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.64 to $9.82).

Q: When is BLZE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is BLZE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for BLZE, spanning a range between $7.64 and $9.82.

$8.73 -4.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.65

Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $540.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.65 (-0.91%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 12.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLZE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BLZE SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.9% FCF Margin ($18.9M FCF) & 60.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$12.69-32.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.60-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$8.34+4.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$8.73-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BLZE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BLZE currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.46) and Max Pain ($9.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BLZE• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BLZE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.09 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BLZE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.3%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$145.8M	-$25.6M	$18.9M	60.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$127.6M	-$48.5M	$10.8M	54.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$102.0M	-$59.7M	-$7.3M	60.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BLZE)

✓Walkthrough of BLZE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BLZE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +103.97%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $8.14H $8.73L $7.36C $8.73VOL 2.21M

RES: $13.42SUP: $13.43SMA50: $12.46SMA200: $9.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLZE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BLZE Butterfly Map → + Track BLZE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLZE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLZE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLZE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLZE)

Technology Rank #555 of 714 ⚔️ MTC vs BLZE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BLZE vs. MTC, DDD, IIIV, MOMO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) ranks #555 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #413 by equity capitalization ($540.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDD leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while MOMO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and 37.8% gross margin. MOMO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BLZE at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BLZE ACTIVE Backblaze Inc. (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	60.9%	-34.5%	-4.01%	$540.4M	Benchmark Subject
MTC MMTec Inc.	E	26/100	—	21.6%	-12.0%	-4.91%	$500.9M	/mtc-vs-blze →
DDD 3D Systems Corporation	E	27/100	16.3x	33.9%	-32.8%	-2.01%	$486.8M	/ddd-vs-blze →
IIIV i3 Verticals Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	25.5x	—	0.9%	+0.23%	$455.6M	/iiiv-vs-blze →
MOMO Hello Group Inc.	C+	69/100	—	37.8%	18.6%	-0.67%	$656.0M	/momo-vs-blze →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001462056

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (BLZE) reported GAAP revenue of $145.8M (+14.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $127.6M , and +42.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$25.6M, operating cash flow of $23.5M, and free cash flow of $18.9M (+74.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLZE closed FY2025 with $191.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$145.8M	-$25.6M	$23.5M	$18.9M	$191.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$127.6M	-$48.5M	$12.5M	$10.8M	$168.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$102.0M	-$59.7M	-$7.3M	-$7.3M	—	—

3. BLZE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLZE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Backblaze Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BLZE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $8.73 (-4.01% 1D, market cap $540.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BLZE ranks #555 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLZE compare to MTC and DDD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BLZE carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 60.9%, and ROIC of -34.5%. By comparison, MTC (MMTec Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $500.9M) and DDD (3D Systems Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC -32.8%, cap $486.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MOMO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLZE?

Per BLZE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001462056), Backblaze Inc. (Class A) generated $145.8M in revenue (+14.3% YoY), -$25.6M in net income, and $18.9M in free cash flow against $191.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLZE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLZE last traded at $8.73 (-4.01% on volume of 1,821,749 shares), positioning the stock -29.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.46) and -5.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.20). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $23.99, BLZE sits at the 26.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.64 to $9.82).