MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why BGSF Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.29 +0.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29
BGSF Inc. (BGSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $45.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BGSF SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 4.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$4.75-7.4% Next Q
62
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$4.40-0.9% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$4.36-1.6% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade D+$4.29-0.7% Hist 90D α
54
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGSF Turnaround Squeeze
While BGSF currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.87) and Max Pain ($4.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.09.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BGSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BGSF Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BGSF Inc. (BGSF) advanced +0.94% to $4.29, trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($3.25 – $6.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($3.25 – $6.75) with RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $4.29 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 35.7% gross margin and $142000 annual free cash flow.
Live BGSF Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGSF)
- ✓Walkthrough of BGSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.24H $4.29L $4.24C $4.29VOL 1.1K
RES: $5.49SUP: $3.86SMA50: $4.87SMA200: $5.50
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BGSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGSF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGSF)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #567 of 1011
⚔️ CTM vs BGSF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BGSF vs. CTM, DLHC, STRR, ACCL)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGSF Inc. (BGSF) ranks #567 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #821 by equity capitalization ($45.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCL leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BGSF at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSF
ACTIVE
BGSF Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | 35.7% | -24.2% | +0.94% | $45.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| CTM Castellum Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 36.6% | -6.2% | -4.32% | $47.9M | /ctm-vs-bgsf → |
| DLHC DLH Holdings Corp. | D | 46/100 | — | — | 5.8% | -0.54% | $53.0M | /dlhc-vs-bgsf → |
| STRR Star Equity Holdings Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | 46.4% | -5.3% | -0.71% | $36.2M | /strr-vs-bgsf → |
| ACCL Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A) | C+ | 68/100 | 35.4x | 44.1% | — | -0.38% | $36.1M | /accl-vs-bgsf → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001474903In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BGSF Inc. (BGSF) reported GAAP revenue of $93.3M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $104.4M , and -25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $142.0K, and free cash flow of $142.0K (-99.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGSF closed FY2025 with $57.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $93.3M | -$11.4M | $142.0K | $142.0K | $57.8M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $104.4M | -$3.3M | $24.4M | $24.4M | $150.1M | $32.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $125.1M | -$10.2M | $20.4M | $20.4M | — | — |
3. BGSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $4.29 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $45.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #567 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $47.9M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $53.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?
Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BGSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BGSF last traded at $4.29 (+0.94% on volume of 14,423 shares), positioning the stock -11.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.87) and -22.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.50). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $6.75, BGSF sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($3.98 to $4.60).
BGSF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BGSF stock moving today?
Why BGSF Stock advanced +0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.