Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BGSF

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BGSF Inc. (BGSF) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.29 +0.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $45.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BGSF SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$4.75-7.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$4.40-0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.36-1.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.29-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BGSF currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.87) and Max Pain ($4.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BGSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

37.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.00>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE30% OF RANGE

L: $3$4.29H: $7

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (36% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BGSF

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

-24.2% ROIC with 35.7% gross margin and 0.31% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.00 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (52)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BGSF

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGSF)

✓Walkthrough of BGSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BGSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.24H $4.29L $4.24C $4.29VOL 1.1K

RES: $5.49SUP: $3.86SMA50: $4.87SMA200: $5.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGSF Butterfly Map → + Track BGSF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGSF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #567 of 1011 ⚔️ CTM vs BGSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BGSF vs. CTM, DLHC, STRR, ACCL)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGSF Inc. (BGSF) ranks #567 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #821 by equity capitalization ($45.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCL leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BGSF at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BGSF ACTIVE BGSF Inc.	D+	54/100	—	35.7%	-24.2%	+0.94%	$45.8M	Benchmark Subject
CTM Castellum Inc.	D-	36/100	—	36.6%	-6.2%	-4.32%	$47.9M	/ctm-vs-bgsf →
DLHC DLH Holdings Corp.	D	46/100	—	—	5.8%	-0.54%	$53.0M	/dlhc-vs-bgsf →
STRR Star Equity Holdings Inc.	E	20/100	—	46.4%	-5.3%	-0.71%	$36.2M	/strr-vs-bgsf →
ACCL Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)	C+	68/100	35.4x	44.1%	—	-0.38%	$36.1M	/accl-vs-bgsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001474903

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BGSF Inc. (BGSF) reported GAAP revenue of $93.3M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $104.4M , and -25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $142.0K, and free cash flow of $142.0K (-99.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGSF closed FY2025 with $57.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$93.3M	-$11.4M	$142.0K	$142.0K	$57.8M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$104.4M	-$3.3M	$24.4M	$24.4M	$150.1M	$32.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$125.1M	-$10.2M	$20.4M	$20.4M	—	—

3. BGSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $4.29 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $45.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #567 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $47.9M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $53.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?

Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGSF last traded at $4.29 (+0.94% on volume of 14,423 shares), positioning the stock -11.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.87) and -22.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.50). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $6.75, BGSF sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($3.98 to $4.60).

BGSF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BGSF stock right now?

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 54/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BGSF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BGSF's 12-month base price target is $4.21 (range $3.28 to $7.09), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BGSF RQD Cockpit BGSF 12M Forecast BGSF Earnings & Move BGSF Dividends & DRIP BGSF Insiders & 13F BGSF Whale Options BGSF Profit Sankey BGSF News & Why