Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BGSF / earnings

CTM (36) DLHC (46) STRR (20) ACCL (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.2% Move

$4.29 +0.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $45.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BGSF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $4.29 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $45.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #567 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $47.9M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $53.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?

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Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BGSF SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$4.75-7.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$4.40-0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.36-1.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.29-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BGSF currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.87) and Max Pain ($4.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BGSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.2% Swing Band

±$0.31 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BGSF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -10.6%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-28	$93.3M	-$11.4M	$142.0K	35.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-29	$104.4M	-$3.3M	$24.4M	36.8%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$125.1M	-$10.2M	$20.4M	35.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGSF)

✓Walkthrough of BGSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BGSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.24H $4.29L $4.24C $4.29VOL 1.1K

RES: $5.49SUP: $3.86SMA50: $4.87SMA200: $5.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGSF Butterfly Map → + Track BGSF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGSF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #567 of 1011 ⚔️ CTM vs BGSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BGSF vs. CTM, DLHC, STRR, ACCL)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGSF Inc. (BGSF) ranks #567 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #821 by equity capitalization ($45.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCL leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BGSF at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BGSF ACTIVE BGSF Inc.	D+	54/100	—	35.7%	-24.2%	+0.94%	$45.8M	Benchmark Subject
CTM Castellum Inc.	D-	36/100	—	36.6%	-6.2%	-4.32%	$47.9M	/ctm-vs-bgsf →
DLHC DLH Holdings Corp.	D	46/100	—	—	5.8%	-0.54%	$53.0M	/dlhc-vs-bgsf →
STRR Star Equity Holdings Inc.	E	20/100	—	46.4%	-5.3%	-0.71%	$36.2M	/strr-vs-bgsf →
ACCL Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)	C+	68/100	35.4x	44.1%	—	-0.38%	$36.1M	/accl-vs-bgsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001474903

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BGSF Inc. (BGSF) reported GAAP revenue of $93.3M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $104.4M , and -25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $142.0K, and free cash flow of $142.0K (-99.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGSF closed FY2025 with $57.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$93.3M	-$11.4M	$142.0K	$142.0K	$57.8M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$104.4M	-$3.3M	$24.4M	$24.4M	$150.1M	$32.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$125.1M	-$10.2M	$20.4M	$20.4M	—	—

3. BGSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?

Where is BGSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGSF last traded at $4.29 (+0.94% on volume of 14,423 shares), positioning the stock -11.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.87) and -22.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.50). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $6.75, BGSF sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($3.98 to $4.60).

BGSF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BGSF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, BGSF Inc. (BGSF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is BGSF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.2% event move for BGSF, spanning a range between $3.98 and $4.6.

Direct Sub-Reports: BGSF RQD Cockpit BGSF 12M Forecast BGSF Earnings & Move BGSF Dividends & DRIP BGSF Insiders & 13F BGSF Whale Options BGSF Profit Sankey BGSF News & Why