Stock Ratings / Financials / BGC / earnings

MKTX (82) PIPR (67) MRX (59) SNEX (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$11.23 -1.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.18

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.32B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BGC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $11.23 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $5.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGC compare to MKTX and PIPR in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.80B) and PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

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Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.17 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BGC SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($372.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$11.61-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$11.35+3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$11.79-4.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$11.23+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BGC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, BGC faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.83) or 200D SMA ($10.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.68) toward Bear Floor ($9.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$0.74 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BGC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $0.31 • YoY Revenue Growth: 34.7%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.44B	$146.5M	$372.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.81B	$123.2M	$285.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.61B	$38.8M	$405.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BGC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BGC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.36%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $11.44H $11.44L $11.23C $11.23VOL 2.63M

RES: $13.00SUP: $10.75SMA50: $11.83SMA200: $10.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGC Butterfly Map → + Track BGC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGC)

Financials Rank #204 of 1096 ⚔️ MKTX vs BGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGC vs. MKTX, PIPR, MRX, SNEX)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #265 by equity capitalization ($5.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with BGC at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BGC ACTIVE BGC Group Inc. (Class A)	C+	67/100	36.3x	—	15.1%	-1.66%	$5.32B	Benchmark Subject
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc.	A-	82/100	23.5x	—	28.4%	+0.23%	$5.80B	/mktx-vs-bgc →
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies	C+	67/100	17.3x	—	18.3%	-7.14%	$4.86B	/pipr-vs-bgc →
MRX Marex Group Limited	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.98%	$4.82B	/mrx-vs-bgc →
SNEX StoneX Group Inc.	D+	53/100	21.7x	—	1.5%	-3.81%	$6.62B	/snex-vs-bgc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094831

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+34.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.81B , and +51.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.5M, operating cash flow of $394.4M, and free cash flow of $372.9M (+30.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGC closed FY2025 with $4.41B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.44B	$146.5M	$394.4M	$372.9M	$4.41B	$1.78B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.81B	$123.2M	$315.4M	$285.7M	$3.59B	$1.34B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.61B	$38.8M	$405.2M	$405.2M	—	—

3. BGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BGC compare to MKTX and PIPR in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

Where is BGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGC last traded at $11.23 (-1.66% on volume of 4,143,307 shares), positioning the stock -5.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.83) and +3.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.87). Across its 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89, BGC sits at the 64.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($10.49 to $11.97).