MKTX (82) PIPR (67) MRX (59) SNEX (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.42 -0.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.39

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.32B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.39 (-0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BGC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($372.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$11.48+1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$11.59+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$11.79-3.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$11.42+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BGC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BGC faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.84) or 200D SMA ($10.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.78) toward Bear Floor ($9.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

40.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE68% OF RANGE

L: $8$11.42H: $13

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BGC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

15.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BGC

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BGC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.69%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $11.41H $11.48L $11.07C $11.42VOL 4.14M

RES: $12.99SUP: $10.36SMA50: $11.84SMA200: $10.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGC Butterfly Map → + Track BGC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGC)

Financials Rank #311 of 1096 ⚔️ MKTX vs BGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGC vs. MKTX, PIPR, MRX, SNEX)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) ranks #311 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #265 by equity capitalization ($5.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with BGC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BGC ACTIVE BGC Group Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	36.3x	—	15.1%	-0.17%	$5.32B	Benchmark Subject
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc.	A-	82/100	23.5x	—	28.4%	+0.06%	$5.80B	/mktx-vs-bgc →
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies	C+	67/100	17.3x	—	18.3%	+2.63%	$4.86B	/pipr-vs-bgc →
MRX Marex Group Limited	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.86%	$4.82B	/mrx-vs-bgc →
SNEX StoneX Group Inc.	D+	53/100	21.7x	—	1.5%	-2.00%	$6.62B	/snex-vs-bgc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094831

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+34.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.81B , and +51.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.5M, operating cash flow of $394.4M, and free cash flow of $372.9M (+30.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGC closed FY2025 with $4.41B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.44B	$146.5M	$394.4M	$372.9M	$4.41B	$1.78B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.81B	$123.2M	$315.4M	$285.7M	$3.59B	$1.34B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.61B	$38.8M	$405.2M	$405.2M	—	—

3. BGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $11.42 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $5.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #311 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGC compare to MKTX and PIPR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.80B) and PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGC last traded at $11.42 (-0.17% on volume of 2,628,724 shares), positioning the stock -3.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.84) and +5.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.85). Across its 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89, BGC sits at the 68.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($10.61 to $12.23).

BGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BGC stock right now?

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 36x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BGC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BGC's 12-month base price target is $11.78 (range $9.19 to $13.9), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BGC RQD Cockpit BGC 12M Forecast BGC Earnings & Move BGC Dividends & DRIP BGC Insiders & 13F BGC Whale Options BGC Profit Sankey BGC News & Why