Stock Ratings / Financials / BCSF / insiders

FDUS (39) NMFC (45) SLRC (34) AIO (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$10.77 -0.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.74

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $703.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BCSF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (NYSE: BCSF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.77 (-0.74% 1D, market cap $703.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BCSF ranks #787 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCSF compare to FDUS and NMFC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), BCSF carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, FDUS (Fidus Investment Corporation) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $737.8M) and NMFC (New Mountain Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $664.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLRC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while SLRC leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCSF?

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Per BCSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001655050), Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $98.8M in net income, and $29.5M in free cash flow against $2.66B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.74 (-0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCSF SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($29.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.3) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$10.68-5.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$10.06-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$10.05+7.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.77-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCSF currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.06) and Max Pain ($11.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BCSF Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BCSF)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BCSF. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCSF)

✓Walkthrough of BCSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BCSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.89%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $10.60H $10.85L $10.60C $10.77VOL 389.0K

RES: $10.78SUP: $9.84SMA50: $11.06SMA200: $12.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCSF Butterfly Map → + Track BCSF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-7.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCSF)

Financials Rank #787 of 1096 ⚔️ FDUS vs BCSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BCSF vs. FDUS, NMFC, SLRC, AIO)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) ranks #787 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #624 by equity capitalization ($703.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLRC leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while SLRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BCSF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCSF ACTIVE Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.	D	46/100	7.1x	—	8.8%	-0.74%	$703.8M	Benchmark Subject
FDUS Fidus Investment Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	—	-0.67%	$737.8M	/fdus-vs-bcsf →
NMFC New Mountain Finance Corporation	D	45/100	40.3x	—	1.4%	-0.14%	$664.9M	/nmfc-vs-bcsf →
SLRC SLR Investment Corp.	E	34/100	7.0x	—	9.3%	-1.36%	$643.2M	/slrc-vs-bcsf →
AIO Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of	D	44/100	—	—	—	-1.45%	$830.7M	/aio-vs-bcsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001655050

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $98.8M, operating cash flow of $29.5M, and free cash flow of $29.5M (+209.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCSF closed FY2025 with $2.66B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$98.8M	$29.5M	$29.5M	$2.66B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$119.4M	-$27.1M	-$27.1M	$2.63B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$123.4M	$219.3M	$219.3M	—	—

3. BCSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BCSF compare to FDUS and NMFC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCSF?

Where is BCSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCSF last traded at $10.77 (-0.74% on volume of 574,005 shares), positioning the stock -2.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.06) and -13.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.44). Across its 52-week range of $10.00 to $14.70, BCSF sits at the 16.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($10.22 to $11.32).

BCSF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are BCSF insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BCSF leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: BCSF RQD Cockpit BCSF 12M Forecast BCSF Earnings & Move BCSF Dividends & DRIP BCSF Insiders & 13F BCSF Whale Options BCSF Profit Sankey BCSF News & Why