MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.40 +1.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.41

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $856.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.41 (+0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (4)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$13 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE MFIC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MFIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MFIC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 77.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$8.47-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$8.34+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$8.38+24.1% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$10.40-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MFIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MFIC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.05) and Max Pain ($10.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MFIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MFIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
77.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE54% OF RANGE
L: $8$10.40H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MFIC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (20)

4.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -5.81% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MFIC
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MFIC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MFIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MFIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.94%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $10.33H $10.42L $10.29C $10.40VOL 1.58M
RES: $9.64SUP: $7.97SMA50: $9.05SMA200: $10.27
$12.55$11.35$10.14$8.94$7.74RES $9.64SUP $7.97$10.402026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MFIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MFIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MFIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MFIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MFIC)

Financials Rank #905 of 1096 ⚔️ AIO vs MFIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MFIC vs. AIO, AEF, PDX, FDUS)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) ranks #905 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #585 by equity capitalization ($856.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIC leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while MFIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.8% ROIC and — gross margin. AIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with MFIC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MFIC ACTIVE
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
D 47/100 13.6x — 4.8% +1.56% $856.7M Benchmark Subject
AIO
Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of
C- 60/100 — — — +0.62% $830.7M /aio-vs-mfic →
AEF
abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.71% $898.6M /aef-vs-mfic →
PDX
PIMCO Dynamic Income Strategy Fund of
C- 60/100 — — — +1.17% $925.4M /pdx-vs-mfic →
FDUS
Fidus Investment Corporation
D 44/100 — — — +1.83% $737.8M /fdus-vs-mfic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001278752

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $63.2M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (-421.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MFIC closed FY2025 with $3.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $63.2M -$49.7M -$49.7M $3.32B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $98.8M -$9.5M -$9.5M $3.19B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $118.8M $196.4M $196.4M — —

3. MFIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MFIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: MFIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.40 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $856.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MFIC ranks #905 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MFIC compare to AIO and AEF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), MFIC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.8%. By comparison, AIO (Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $830.7M) and AEF (abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $898.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIC leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while MFIC leads on capital efficiency (4.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MFIC?

Per MFIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001278752), MidCap Financial Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $63.2M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $3.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MFIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MFIC last traded at $10.40 (+1.56% on volume of 5,085,024 shares), positioning the stock +14.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.05) and +1.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.27). Across its 52-week range of $8.11 to $12.34, MFIC sits at the 54.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 77.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($9.94 to $10.86).

MFIC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MFIC stock right now?

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 47/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 14x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MFIC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MFIC's 12-month base price target is $9.89 (range $7.71 to $12.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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