Stock Ratings / Financials / MFIC / earnings

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MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.4% Move

$10.40 +1.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.41

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $856.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.41 (+0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MFIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MFIC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 77.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$8.47-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.34+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$8.38+24.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.40-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MFIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MFIC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.05) and Max Pain ($10.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MFIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MFIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.4% Swing Band

±$0.46 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MFIC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.77 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$63.2M	-$49.7M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$98.8M	-$9.5M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$118.8M	$196.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MFIC)

✓Walkthrough of MFIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MFIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.94%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $10.33H $10.42L $10.29C $10.40VOL 1.58M

RES: $9.64SUP: $7.97SMA50: $9.05SMA200: $10.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MFIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MFIC Butterfly Map → + Track MFIC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MFIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MFIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MFIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MFIC)

Financials Rank #905 of 1096 ⚔️ AIO vs MFIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MFIC vs. AIO, AEF, PDX, FDUS)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) ranks #905 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #585 by equity capitalization ($856.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIC leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while MFIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.8% ROIC and — gross margin. AIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with MFIC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MFIC ACTIVE MidCap Financial Investment Corporation	D	47/100	13.6x	—	4.8%	+1.56%	$856.7M	Benchmark Subject
AIO Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.62%	$830.7M	/aio-vs-mfic →
AEF abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.71%	$898.6M	/aef-vs-mfic →
PDX PIMCO Dynamic Income Strategy Fund of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.17%	$925.4M	/pdx-vs-mfic →
FDUS Fidus Investment Corporation	D	44/100	—	—	—	+1.83%	$737.8M	/fdus-vs-mfic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001278752

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $63.2M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (-421.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MFIC closed FY2025 with $3.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$63.2M	-$49.7M	-$49.7M	$3.32B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$98.8M	-$9.5M	-$9.5M	$3.19B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$118.8M	$196.4M	$196.4M	—	—

3. MFIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MFIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: MFIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.40 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $856.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MFIC ranks #905 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MFIC compare to AIO and AEF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), MFIC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.8%. By comparison, AIO (Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $830.7M) and AEF (abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $898.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIC leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while MFIC leads on capital efficiency (4.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MFIC?

Per MFIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001278752), MidCap Financial Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $63.2M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $3.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MFIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MFIC last traded at $10.40 (+1.56% on volume of 5,085,024 shares), positioning the stock +14.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.05) and +1.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.27). Across its 52-week range of $8.11 to $12.34, MFIC sits at the 54.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 77.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($9.94 to $10.86).

MFIC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MFIC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MFIC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.4% event move for MFIC, spanning a range between $9.94 and $10.86.

Direct Sub-Reports: MFIC RQD Cockpit MFIC 12M Forecast MFIC Earnings & Move MFIC Dividends & DRIP MFIC Insiders & 13F MFIC Whale Options MFIC Profit Sankey MFIC News & Why