Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BBW / options

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Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$27.48 +9.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.00

Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 83/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (56% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 83/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.2% hit rate) →

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $338.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.00 (+1.89%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 7.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 83/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.2% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (83/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BBW SCORES 83/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.5% FCF Margin ($39.5M FCF) & 55.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 5 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$25.53-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$24.96-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$23.79+15.5% Next Q

Current

Grade A-$27.48+8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → A- (83)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BBW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 83/100 (A-) score, BBW faces multiple-compression risk if 6.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 53.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.30) or 200D SMA ($37.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.57) toward Bear Floor ($22.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BBW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 83%NO 17%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BBW)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BBW.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BBW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BBW
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BBW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $27.71H $28.48L $27.25C $27.48VOL 886.1K

RES: $40.18SUP: $21.25SMA50: $27.30SMA200: $37.28

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BBW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BBW Butterfly Map → + Track BBW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #11 of 1011 ⚔️ JAKK vs BBW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BBW vs. JAKK, FNKO, ESCA, JOUT)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (83/100, grade A-) and #637 by equity capitalization ($338.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 83/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BBW ACTIVE Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.	A-	83/100	6.5x	55.8%	33.7%	+9.18%	$338.5M	Benchmark Subject
JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc.	E	33/100	—	96.0%	5.7%	-0.62%	$372.0M	/jakk-vs-bbw →
FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	—	-10.4%	+1.52%	$374.6M	/fnko-vs-bbw →
ESCA Escalade Incorporated	B+	79/100	20.2x	26.9%	8.0%	+8.63%	$277.2M	/esca-vs-bbw →
JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	35.1%	-4.5%	+2.30%	$484.4M	/jout-vs-bbw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001113809

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) reported GAAP revenue of $529.8M (+6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $496.4M , and +9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.2M, operating cash flow of $65.1M, and free cash flow of $39.5M (+42.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBW closed FY2025 with $345.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$529.8M	$52.2M	$65.1M	$39.5M	$345.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$496.4M	$51.8M	$47.1M	$27.8M	$290.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$486.1M	$52.8M	$64.3M	$64.3M	—	—

3. BBW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BBW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (NYSE: BBW) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $27.48 (+9.18% 1D, market cap $338.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BBW ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BBW compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), BBW carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.5x, gross margin of 55.8%, and ROIC of 33.7%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $374.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBW?

Per BBW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001113809), Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. generated $529.8M in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $52.2M in net income, and $39.5M in free cash flow against $345.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BBW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BBW last traded at $27.48 (+9.18% on volume of 955,913 shares), positioning the stock +0.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.30) and -26.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.28). Across its 52-week range of $23.19 to $72.19, BBW sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($24.90 to $30.06).

BBW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BBW's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BBW.

Direct Sub-Reports: BBW RQD Cockpit BBW 12M Forecast BBW Earnings & Move BBW Dividends & DRIP BBW Insiders & 13F BBW Whale Options BBW Profit Sankey BBW News & Why