Michael Burry just took a 6% position in a heavily shorted mall retailer that Wall Street has written off as a relic, and his argument for why the bears are completely wrong centers on a competitive advantage most analys
Why BBW Stock surged +9.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 83/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (56% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.5% FCF Margin ($39.5M FCF) & 55.8% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 5 pts from forensic ceiling
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BBW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 83/100 (A-) score, BBW faces multiple-compression risk if 6.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 53.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.30) or 200D SMA ($37.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.57) toward Bear Floor ($22.53).
Why BBW Stock surged +9.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) surged +9.18% to $27.48, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($23.19 – $72.19). High-quality cash engine (56% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($23.19 – $72.19) with RSI-14 at 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.4% around $27.48 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) backed by 55.8% gross margin and $39.5M annual free cash flow.
Michael Burry lists Build-A-Bear's transformation, loyal customer base, and shareholder returns as reasons to overlook near-term weakness.
Michael Burry is long Build-A-Bear, calling it undervalued at $25 despite weak sales, tariffs and reduced guidance.
Build-A-Bear Workshop® is kicking off its 30th anniversary celebration with a new Bearemy® plush inspired by the brand's original 1999 mascot. Available beginning Oct. 27, the nostalgic vault drop launches "30 Years of t
Michael Burry may trim Walmart, Alphabet and Valero over valuation concerns, while buying beaten-down stocks and shorting AI names.
Build-A-Bear Workshop®, the beloved global retailtainment brand known for its interactive Make-Your-Own furry friend experience, today announced a new partnership with Hard Rock Cafe® that will bring the Build-A-Bear exp
Build-A-Bear Workshop, the global retailtainment brand known for adding a little more heart to life, today offers a first look at three distinct Workshop experiences that will be inside its highly anticipated new multi-l
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BBW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
BBW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBW)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BBW vs. JAKK, FNKO, ESCA, JOUT)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (83/100, grade A-) and #637 by equity capitalization ($338.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 83/100 (A-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBW
ACTIVE
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | A- | 83/100 | 6.5x | 55.8% | 33.7% | +9.18% | $338.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 96.0% | 5.7% | -0.62% | $372.0M | /jakk-vs-bbw → |
| FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -10.4% | +1.52% | $374.6M | /fnko-vs-bbw → |
| ESCA Escalade Incorporated | B+ | 79/100 | 20.2x | 26.9% | 8.0% | +8.63% | $277.2M | /esca-vs-bbw → |
| JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | 35.1% | -4.5% | +2.30% | $484.4M | /jout-vs-bbw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001113809In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) reported GAAP revenue of $529.8M (+6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $496.4M , and +9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.2M, operating cash flow of $65.1M, and free cash flow of $39.5M (+42.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBW closed FY2025 with $345.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $529.8M | $52.2M | $65.1M | $39.5M | $345.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-01 | $496.4M | $51.8M | $47.1M | $27.8M | $290.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-03 | $486.1M | $52.8M | $64.3M | $64.3M | — | — |
3. BBW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BBW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (NYSE: BBW) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $27.48 (+9.18% 1D, market cap $338.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BBW ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BBW compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), BBW carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.5x, gross margin of 55.8%, and ROIC of 33.7%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $374.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBW?
Per BBW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001113809), Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. generated $529.8M in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $52.2M in net income, and $39.5M in free cash flow against $345.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BBW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BBW last traded at $27.48 (+9.18% on volume of 955,913 shares), positioning the stock +0.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.30) and -26.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.28). Across its 52-week range of $23.19 to $72.19, BBW sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($24.90 to $30.06).
BBW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BBW stock moving today?
Why BBW Stock surged +9.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (56% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support.