Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BBW / financials

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Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$27.48 +9.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.88

Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $338.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BBW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BBW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (NYSE: BBW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $27.48 (+9.18% 1D, market cap $338.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BBW ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BBW compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), BBW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.5x, gross margin of 55.8%, and ROIC of 33.7%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $374.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBW?

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Per BBW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001113809), Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. generated $529.8M in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $52.2M in net income, and $39.5M in free cash flow against $345.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (56% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.88 (+1.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 7.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BBW SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.5% FCF Margin ($39.5M FCF) & 55.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$25.58-5.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$24.12-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$23.78+15.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$27.48+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BBW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, BBW faces multiple-compression risk if 6.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 53.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.08) or 200D SMA ($37.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.72) toward Bear Floor ($22.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BBW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How BBW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$39.5M (7.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $486.1M

FY24

Rev $496.4M

FY25

Rev $529.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$529.8M	55.8%	0%	$52.2M	$39.5M	33.7%
FY 2024	$496.4M	54.9%	0%	$51.8M	$27.8M	33.7%
FY 2023	$486.1M	55.8%	0%	$52.8M	$64.3M	33.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BBW)

✓Walkthrough of BBW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BBW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $25.17H $27.48L $25.17C $27.48VOL 955.9K

RES: $40.18SUP: $21.15SMA50: $27.08SMA200: $37.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BBW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BBW Butterfly Map → + Track BBW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #189 of 1011 ⚔️ JAKK vs BBW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BBW vs. JAKK, FNKO, ESCA, JOUT)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #637 by equity capitalization ($338.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with BBW at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BBW ACTIVE Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.	C+	68/100	6.5x	55.8%	33.7%	+9.18%	$338.5M	Benchmark Subject
JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc.	D-	39/100	—	96.0%	5.7%	-0.62%	$372.0M	/jakk-vs-bbw →
FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-10.4%	+1.52%	$374.6M	/fnko-vs-bbw →
ESCA Escalade Incorporated	B	75/100	20.2x	26.9%	8.0%	+8.63%	$277.2M	/esca-vs-bbw →
JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	35.1%	-4.5%	+2.30%	$484.4M	/jout-vs-bbw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001113809

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW) reported GAAP revenue of $529.8M (+6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $496.4M , and +9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.2M, operating cash flow of $65.1M, and free cash flow of $39.5M (+42.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBW closed FY2025 with $345.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$529.8M	$52.2M	$65.1M	$39.5M	$345.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$496.4M	$51.8M	$47.1M	$27.8M	$290.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$486.1M	$52.8M	$64.3M	$64.3M	—	—

3. BBW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BBW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BBW compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBW?

Where is BBW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BBW last traded at $27.48 (+9.18% on volume of 955,913 shares), positioning the stock +1.48% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.08) and -25.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.06). Across its 52-week range of $23.19 to $72.19, BBW sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($24.73 to $30.23).

BBW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. (BBW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), BBW converted $529.8M of revenue into a 55.8% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $39.5M in free cash flow (7.5% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: BBW RQD Cockpit BBW 12M Forecast BBW Earnings & Move BBW Dividends & DRIP BBW Insiders & 13F BBW Whale Options BBW Profit Sankey BBW News & Why