MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why BBDC Stock advanced +1.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.71 +1.63% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.76
Barings BDC Inc. (BBDC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $912.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.76 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BBDC SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$8.52-0.9% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$8.44-1.5% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$8.31+4.8% Next Q
68
CurrentGrade B-$8.71+6.8% Hist 90D α
71
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BBDC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, BBDC faces multiple-compression risk if 8.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.75) or 200D SMA ($8.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.22) toward Bear Floor ($7.14).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BBDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BBDC Stock advanced +1.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Barings BDC Inc. (BBDC) advanced +1.63% to $8.71, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($7.96 – $9.54). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($7.96 – $9.54) with RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.9% around $8.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $160.5M annual free cash flow.
Live BBDC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BBDC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BBDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.70%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $8.74H $8.74L $8.61C $8.71VOL 494.4K
RES: $9.66SUP: $8.20SMA50: $8.75SMA200: $8.68
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-3.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBDC)
Financials Rank #123 of 1096
⚔️ TROO vs BBDC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BBDC vs. TROO, OBDC, IX, FMN)
Industry: Diversified Financial Services (4 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Barings BDC Inc. (BBDC) ranks #123 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #572 by equity capitalization ($912.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OBDC leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while IX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BBDC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBDC
ACTIVE
Barings BDC Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 8.9x | — | 8.8% | +1.63% | $912.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| TROO TROOPS Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +6.94% | $282.2M | /troo-vs-bbdc → |
| OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corporation | C | 65/100 | 8.3x | — | 6.4% | +3.55% | $5.18B | /obdc-vs-bbdc → |
| IX ORIX Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.30% | $40.70B | /ix-vs-bbdc → |
| FMN Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +0.58% | $903.1M | /fmn-vs-bbdc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001379785In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Barings BDC Inc. (BBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $101.9M, operating cash flow of $160.5M, and free cash flow of $160.5M (+31.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBDC closed FY2025 with $2.64B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $101.9M | $160.5M | $160.5M | $2.64B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $110.3M | $122.2M | $122.2M | $2.70B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $128.0M | $76.9M | $76.9M | — | — |
3. BBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Barings BDC Inc. (NYSE: BBDC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $8.71 (+1.63% 1D, market cap $912.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BBDC ranks #123 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BBDC compare to TROO and OBDC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), BBDC carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, TROO (TROOPS Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $282.2M) and OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBDC?
Per BBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001379785), Barings BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $101.9M in net income, and $160.5M in free cash flow against $2.64B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BBDC last traded at $8.71 (+1.63% on volume of 387,293 shares), positioning the stock -0.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.75) and +0.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.68). Across its 52-week range of $7.96 to $9.54, BBDC sits at the 47.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($8.37 to $9.05).
BBDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BBDC stock moving today?
Why BBDC Stock advanced +1.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.