Stock Ratings / Utilities / AWX / forecast

QRHC (30) RENX (19) VIVK (22) OIO (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.53 -2.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.51

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AWX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSE: AWX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $2.53 (-2.68% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AWX ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?

▼

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), AWX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.7x, gross margin of 19.5%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.4M) and RENX (RenX Enterprises Corp.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while AWX leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?

▼

Per AWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061069), Avalon Holdings Corporation generated $83.5M in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $321.0K in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $87.4M in total assets and $28.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.51 (-0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AWX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AWX SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.5% FCF Margin ($2.1M FCF) & 19.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.45+6.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.62-4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.50+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.53-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AWX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AWX currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.58) and Max Pain ($2.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AWX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AWX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AWX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.53: 3952.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.93

$7,628

$-2,372 (-23.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.48

$9,802

$-198 (-2.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.15

$12,451

+$2,451 (+24.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$3	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AWX)

✓Walkthrough of AWX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AWX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $2.60H $2.60L $2.53C $2.53VOL 1.5K

RES: $3.05SUP: $2.43SMA50: $2.58SMA200: $2.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AWX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AWX Butterfly Map → + Track AWX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AWX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AWX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AWX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AWX)

Utilities Rank #54 of 117 ⚔️ QRHC vs AWX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AWX vs. QRHC, RENX, VIVK, OIO)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) ranks #54 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #113 by equity capitalization ($9.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while AWX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 19.5% gross margin. AWX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AWX ACTIVE Avalon Holdings Corporation	D+	54/100	30.7x	19.5%	2.6%	-2.68%	$9.9M	Benchmark Subject
QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corporation	E	30/100	—	17.0%	-12.3%	-6.72%	$23.4M	/qrhc-vs-awx →
RENX RenX Enterprises Corp.	E	19/100	—	29.1%	-35.0%	-1.82%	$3.8M	/renx-vs-awx →
VIVK Vivakor Inc.	E	22/100	—	36.1%	-35.0%	-2.60%	$2.4M	/vivk-vs-awx →
OIO OIO Group	D	50/100	—	—	—	-3.08%	$657.8M	/oio-vs-awx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001061069

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) reported GAAP revenue of $83.5M (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.8M , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $321.0K, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (+83.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AWX closed FY2025 with $87.4M in total assets against $28.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$83.5M	$321.0K	$3.8M	$2.1M	$87.4M	$28.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.8M	$1.3M	$3.4M	$1.1M	$86.2M	$28.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$80.9M	-$1.8M	$2.4M	$2.4M	—	—

3. AWX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?

Where is AWX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AWX last traded at $2.53 (-2.68% on volume of 1,523 shares), positioning the stock -1.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.58) and -1.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.58). Across its 52-week range of $2.43 to $3.00, AWX sits at the 17.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($2.32 to $2.74).

AWX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AWX's 12-month stock price target?

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.48 (-2% from $2.53), with a bull-case target of $3.15 and a bear-case floor of $1.93.

Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AWX D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 54/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AWX RQD Cockpit AWX 12M Forecast AWX Earnings & Move AWX Dividends & DRIP AWX Insiders & 13F AWX Whale Options AWX Profit Sankey AWX News & Why