Stock Ratings / Utilities / AWX / earnings

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Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.4% Move

$2.53 -2.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.51

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.51 (-0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AWX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AWX SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 18% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.5% FCF Margin ($2.1M FCF) & 19.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$2.47+1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$2.50+1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.53+0% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$2.53+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AWX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AWX faces multiple-compression risk if 30.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 17.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.59) or 200D SMA ($2.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.54) toward Bear Floor ($1.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AWX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AWX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.4% Swing Band

±$0.21 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AWX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.08 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.3%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$83.5M	$321.0K	$2.1M	19.5%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$83.8M	$1.3M	$1.1M	20.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$80.9M	-$1.8M	$2.4M	19.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AWX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AWX
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AWX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.52H $2.60L $2.52C $2.53VOL 600

RES: $3.04SUP: $2.44SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $2.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AWX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AWX Butterfly Map → + Track AWX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AWX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AWX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AWX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AWX)

Utilities Rank #40 of 117 ⚔️ QRHC vs AWX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AWX vs. QRHC, RENX, VIVK, OIO)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #113 by equity capitalization ($9.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while AWX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 19.5% gross margin. AWX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AWX ACTIVE Avalon Holdings Corporation	C-	59/100	30.7x	19.5%	2.6%	-2.68%	$9.9M	Benchmark Subject
QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corporation	D-	35/100	—	17.0%	-12.3%	-6.72%	$23.4M	/qrhc-vs-awx →
RENX RenX Enterprises Corp.	E	25/100	—	29.1%	-35.0%	-1.82%	$3.8M	/renx-vs-awx →
VIVK Vivakor Inc.	E	31/100	—	36.1%	-35.0%	-2.60%	$2.4M	/vivk-vs-awx →
OIO OIO Group	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.08%	$657.8M	/oio-vs-awx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001061069

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) reported GAAP revenue of $83.5M (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.8M , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $321.0K, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (+83.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AWX closed FY2025 with $87.4M in total assets against $28.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$83.5M	$321.0K	$3.8M	$2.1M	$87.4M	$28.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.8M	$1.3M	$3.4M	$1.1M	$86.2M	$28.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$80.9M	-$1.8M	$2.4M	$2.4M	—	—

3. AWX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSE: AWX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $2.53 (-2.68% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AWX ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), AWX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.7x, gross margin of 19.5%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.4M) and RENX (RenX Enterprises Corp.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while AWX leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?

Per AWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061069), Avalon Holdings Corporation generated $83.5M in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $321.0K in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $87.4M in total assets and $28.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AWX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AWX last traded at $2.53 (-2.68% on volume of 1,523 shares), positioning the stock -2.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -2.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.59). Across its 52-week range of $2.43 to $3.00, AWX sits at the 17.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($2.32 to $2.74).

AWX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AWX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AWX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.4% event move for AWX, spanning a range between $2.32 and $2.74.

Direct Sub-Reports: AWX RQD Cockpit AWX 12M Forecast AWX Earnings & Move AWX Dividends & DRIP AWX Insiders & 13F AWX Whale Options AWX Profit Sankey AWX News & Why