Stock Ratings / Materials / AVD / insiders

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American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Is AVD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (NYSE: AVD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AVD ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does AVD compare to CBUS and FRTT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Agricultural Chemicals), AVD carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of -6.1%. By comparison, CBUS (Cibus Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.2M) and FRTT (Fort Technology Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $8.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AVD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVD leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVD?

Per AVD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000005981), American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) generated $515.1M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$49.9M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $596.5M in total assets and $174.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is AVD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVD last traded at $1.10 (-3.51% on volume of 206,646 shares), positioning the stock -38.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.78) and -61.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $5.55, AVD sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.24).

Q: Are AVD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AVD leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

$1.10 -3.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.09

American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $32.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.09 (-0.82%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AVD SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (37% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.44 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.60-33.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.06-2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.03+6.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.10-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AVD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AVD currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.78) and Max Pain ($1.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AVD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AVD Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AVD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AVD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVD)

✓Walkthrough of AVD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AVD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.11H $1.11L $1.06C $1.10VOL 105.3K

RES: $2.87SUP: $0.93SMA50: $1.78SMA200: $2.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AVD Butterfly Map → + Track AVD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVD)

Materials Rank #241 of 270 ⚔️ CBUS vs AVD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AVD vs. CBUS, FRTT, EVGN, SNES)

Industry: Agricultural Chemicals (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) ranks #241 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #250 by equity capitalization ($32.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AVD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and 28.6% gross margin. EVGN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AVD at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AVD ACTIVE American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value)	D-	35/100	—	28.6%	-6.1%	-3.51%	$32.5M	Benchmark Subject
CBUS Cibus Inc. (Class A)	E	32/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.25%	$103.2M	/cbus-vs-avd →
FRTT Fort Technology Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.14%	$8.1M	/frtt-vs-avd →
EVGN Evogene Ltd	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+1.60%	$6.0M	/evgn-vs-avd →
SNES SenesTech Inc.	D	45/100	—	62.5%	-35.0%	+4.12%	$5.5M	/snes-vs-avd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000005981

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) reported GAAP revenue of $515.1M (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $547.3M , and -11.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$49.9M, operating cash flow of -$21.2M, and free cash flow of -$21.2M (-640.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVD closed FY2025 with $596.5M in total assets against $174.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$515.1M	-$49.9M	-$21.2M	-$21.2M	$596.5M	$174.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$547.3M	-$126.3M	$3.9M	$3.9M	$636.7M	$147.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$579.4M	$7.5M	-$58.7M	-$58.7M	—	—

3. AVD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (NYSE: AVD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AVD ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVD compare to CBUS and FRTT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Agricultural Chemicals), AVD carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of -6.1%. By comparison, CBUS (Cibus Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.2M) and FRTT (Fort Technology Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $8.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AVD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVD leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVD?

Per AVD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000005981), American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) generated $515.1M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$49.9M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $596.5M in total assets and $174.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVD last traded at $1.10 (-3.51% on volume of 206,646 shares), positioning the stock -38.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.78) and -61.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $5.55, AVD sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.24).

AVD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AVD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AVD leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: AVD RQD Cockpit AVD 12M Forecast AVD Earnings & Move AVD Dividends & DRIP AVD Insiders & 13F AVD Whale Options AVD Profit Sankey AVD News & Why