American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.10 -3.51% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.09

American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $32.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AVD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (NYSE: AVD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AVD ranks #258 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AVD compare to CBUS and FRTT in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Agricultural Chemicals), AVD carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of -6.1%. By comparison, CBUS (Cibus Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.2M) and FRTT (Fort Technology Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $8.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AVD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVD leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVD?
β–Ό

Per AVD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000005981), American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) generated $515.1M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$49.9M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $596.5M in total assets and $174.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.09 (-0.82%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.5% Base Target
$6 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AVD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AVD SCORES 24/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.44 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 28 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$1.41-24.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$1.07+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$1.07+2.8% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$1.10-10.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (32) β†’ E (24)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AVD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AVD currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.75) and Max Pain ($1.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.83.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAVD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AVD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AVD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.80%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $1.14H $1.14L $1.10C $1.10VOL 206.6K
RES: $1.67SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.75SMA200: $2.85
$4.63$3.64$2.66$1.68$0.69RES $1.67SUP $0.91$1.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVD)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AVD vs. CBUS, FRTT, EVGN, SNES)

Industry: Agricultural Chemicals (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) ranks #258 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #250 by equity capitalization ($32.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AVD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and 28.6% gross margin. EVGN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with AVD at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AVD ACTIVE
American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value)
E 24/100 β€” 28.6% -6.1% -3.51% $32.5M Benchmark Subject
CBUS
Cibus Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.25% $103.2M /cbus-vs-avd β†’
FRTT
Fort Technology Inc.
D 50/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.14% $8.1M /frtt-vs-avd β†’
EVGN
Evogene Ltd
D+ 54/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.60% $6.0M /evgn-vs-avd β†’
SNES
SenesTech Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 62.5% -35.0% +4.12% $5.5M /snes-vs-avd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000005981

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) reported GAAP revenue of $515.1M (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $547.3M , and -11.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$49.9M, operating cash flow of -$21.2M, and free cash flow of -$21.2M (-640.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVD closed FY2025 with $596.5M in total assets against $174.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $515.1M -$49.9M -$21.2M -$21.2M $596.5M $174.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $547.3M -$126.3M $3.9M $3.9M $636.7M $147.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $579.4M $7.5M -$58.7M -$58.7M β€” β€”

3. AVD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (NYSE: AVD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AVD ranks #258 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVD compare to CBUS and FRTT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Agricultural Chemicals), AVD carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.6%, and ROIC of -6.1%. By comparison, CBUS (Cibus Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $103.2M) and FRTT (Fort Technology Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $8.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AVD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVD leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVD?

Per AVD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000005981), American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) generated $515.1M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$49.9M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $596.5M in total assets and $174.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVD last traded at $1.10 (-3.51% on volume of 206,646 shares), positioning the stock -37.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.75) and -61.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.85). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $5.55, AVD sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.24).

AVD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does AVD pay a dividend and is it safe?

American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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