Stock Ratings / Technology / ASYS / options

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Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$13.68 -0.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $239.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65 (-0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASYS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASYS SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($6.9M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$16.45-22.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.80-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$12.42+10.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$13.68-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASYS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASYS currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.85) and Max Pain ($14.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASYS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASYS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±11.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ASYS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ASYS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASYS)

✓Walkthrough of ASYS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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ASYS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $12.79H $13.68L $12.52C $13.68VOL 310.7K

RES: $18.48SUP: $11.86SMA50: $14.85SMA200: $16.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASYS Butterfly Map → + Track ASYS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASYS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASYS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASYS)

Technology Rank #487 of 714 ⚔️ VELO vs ASYS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASYS vs. VELO, MPTI, SHMD, ESP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) ranks #487 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #462 by equity capitalization ($239.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with ASYS at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASYS ACTIVE Amtech Systems Inc.	D	45/100	—	34.0%	-35.0%	-0.07%	$239.5M	Benchmark Subject
VELO Velo3D Inc.	D-	42/100	—	-16.1%	-35.0%	+1.14%	$227.3M	/velo-vs-asys →
MPTI M-tron Industries Inc.	C+	66/100	35.5x	—	19.2%	-0.56%	$300.0M	/mpti-vs-asys →
SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-4.19%	$186.5M	/shmd-vs-asys →
ESP Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.	B+	77/100	20.7x	28.9%	18.1%	+0.34%	$168.7M	/esp-vs-asys →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000720500

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) reported GAAP revenue of $79.4M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $101.2M , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.3M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $6.9M (+39.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASYS closed FY2025 with $94.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.83, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$79.4M	-$30.3M	$7.9M	$6.9M	$94.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$101.2M	-$8.5M	$9.8M	$5.0M	$117.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$113.3M	-$12.6M	-$7.7M	-$7.7M	—	—

3. ASYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.68 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #487 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?

Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASYS last traded at $13.68 (-0.07% on volume of 225,267 shares), positioning the stock -7.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.85) and -14.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $25.71, ASYS sits at the 36.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($12.11 to $15.25).

ASYS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ASYS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ASYS.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASYS RQD Cockpit ASYS 12M Forecast ASYS Earnings & Move ASYS Dividends & DRIP ASYS Insiders & 13F ASYS Whale Options ASYS Profit Sankey ASYS News & Why