Stock Ratings / Technology / ASYS / forecast

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Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$13.68 -0.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $239.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASYS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $13.68 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?

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Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65 (-0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASYS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASYS SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($6.9M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$16.01-17.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$13.16-4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$12.64+8.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$13.68-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASYS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASYS currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.83) and Max Pain ($14.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASYS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASYS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ASYS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $13.68: 731.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.85

$7,200

$-2,800 (-28.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.63

$9,232

$-768 (-7.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $27.00

$19,737

+$9,737 (+97.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$13	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$25	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$11	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASYS)

✓Walkthrough of ASYS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASYS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $13.69H $13.69L $13.68C $13.68VOL 225.3K

RES: $18.58SUP: $11.74SMA50: $14.83SMA200: $16.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASYS Butterfly Map → + Track ASYS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASYS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASYS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASYS)

Technology Rank #489 of 714 ⚔️ VELO vs ASYS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASYS vs. VELO, MPTI, SHMD, ESP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) ranks #489 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #462 by equity capitalization ($239.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ASYS at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASYS ACTIVE Amtech Systems Inc.	D-	41/100	—	34.0%	-35.0%	-0.07%	$239.5M	Benchmark Subject
VELO Velo3D Inc.	E	26/100	—	-16.1%	-35.0%	+1.14%	$227.3M	/velo-vs-asys →
MPTI M-tron Industries Inc.	D+	56/100	35.5x	—	19.2%	-0.56%	$300.0M	/mpti-vs-asys →
SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	—	-4.19%	$186.5M	/shmd-vs-asys →
ESP Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.	C+	67/100	20.7x	28.9%	18.1%	+0.34%	$168.7M	/esp-vs-asys →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000720500

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) reported GAAP revenue of $79.4M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $101.2M , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.3M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $6.9M (+39.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASYS closed FY2025 with $94.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.83, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$79.4M	-$30.3M	$7.9M	$6.9M	$94.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$101.2M	-$8.5M	$9.8M	$5.0M	$117.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$113.3M	-$12.6M	-$7.7M	-$7.7M	—	—

3. ASYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?

Where is ASYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASYS last traded at $13.68 (-0.07% on volume of 225,267 shares), positioning the stock -7.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.83) and -14.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $25.71, ASYS sits at the 36.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($12.16 to $15.20).

ASYS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ASYS's 12-month stock price target?

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $12.63 (-7.7% from $13.68), with a bull-case target of $27 and a bear-case floor of $9.85.

Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ASYS D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 41/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASYS RQD Cockpit ASYS 12M Forecast ASYS Earnings & Move ASYS Dividends & DRIP ASYS Insiders & 13F ASYS Whale Options ASYS Profit Sankey ASYS News & Why