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Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$39.91 +2.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.01

Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $918.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.01 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASTE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASTE SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.01 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$38.71-1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$38.22+0.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$38.45+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$39.91+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASTE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, ASTE faces multiple-compression risk if 23.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.93) or 200D SMA ($50.78) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.63) toward Bear Floor ($31.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASTE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASTE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ASTE Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ASTE)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ASTE. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASTE Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ASTE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.62%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $39.22H $39.91L $38.81C $39.91VOL 136.9K

RES: $40.78SUP: $37.08SMA50: $40.93SMA200: $50.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASTE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASTE Butterfly Map → + Track ASTE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASTE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASTE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASTE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASTE)

Industrials Rank #140 of 485 ⚔️ PLOW vs ASTE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ASTE vs. PLOW, MTW, WNC, HY)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) ranks #140 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #261 by equity capitalization ($918.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PLOW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ASTE at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASTE ACTIVE Astec Industries Inc.	C	62/100	23.7x	26.5%	5.6%	+2.41%	$918.9M	Benchmark Subject
PLOW Douglas Dynamics Inc.	B	72/100	19.6x	26.6%	20.7%	+0.33%	$919.2M	/plow-vs-aste →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D-	41/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	+2.81%	$858.3M	/mtw-vs-aste →
WNC Wabash National Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	31.2%	-4.05%	$540.2M	/wnc-vs-aste →
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	0.00%	$526.1M	/hy-vs-aste →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000792987

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.41B (+8.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.8M, operating cash flow of $61.4M, and free cash flow of $20.7M (+728.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASTE closed FY2025 with $1.37B in total assets against $319.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.01, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.41B	$38.8M	$61.4M	$20.7M	$1.37B	$319.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.31B	$4.3M	$23.0M	$2.5M	$1.04B	$105.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.34B	$33.5M	$27.8M	$27.8M	—	—

3. ASTE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASTE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Astec Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $39.91 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $918.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ASTE ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASTE compare to PLOW and MTW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), ASTE carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of 26.5%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $919.2M) and MTW (Manitowoc Company Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 119.2x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $858.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTE?

Per ASTE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000792987), Astec Industries Inc. generated $1.41B in revenue (+8.1% YoY), $38.8M in net income, and $20.7M in free cash flow against $1.37B in total assets and $319.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASTE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASTE last traded at $39.91 (+2.41% on volume of 197,009 shares), positioning the stock -2.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.93) and -21.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.78). Across its 52-week range of $37.49 to $65.69, ASTE sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($37.28 to $42.54).

ASTE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ASTE insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ASTE leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASTE RQD Cockpit ASTE 12M Forecast ASTE Earnings & Move ASTE Dividends & DRIP ASTE Insiders & 13F ASTE Whale Options ASTE Profit Sankey ASTE News & Why