Stock Ratings / Materials / ASPI / financials

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ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$2.13 +4.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.14

ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $326.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.14 (+0.70%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASPI SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.65-19.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.14-8.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.95+9.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.13-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASPI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASPI currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.98) and Max Pain ($2.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASPI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASPI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ASPI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $433.0K

FY24

Rev $4.1M

FY25

Rev $23.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$23.8M	14.3%	-80%	-$159.8M	-$47.4M	-45%
FY 2024	$4.1M	38.6%	-80%	-$32.4M	-$26.4M	-45%
FY 2023	$433.0K	14.3%	-80%	-$16.3M	-$5.4M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASPI)

✓Walkthrough of ASPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.51%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $2.02H $2.13L $1.93C $2.13VOL 3.44M

RES: $2.12SUP: $1.47SMA50: $2.98SMA200: $4.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASPI Butterfly Map → + Track ASPI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASPI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASPI)

Materials Rank #228 of 270 ⚔️ OEC vs ASPI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASPI vs. OEC, NL, GEVO, SLI)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) ranks #228 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #197 by equity capitalization ($326.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASPI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. SLI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with ASPI at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASPI ACTIVE ASP Isotopes Inc.	D-	38/100	—	14.3%	-35.0%	+4.93%	$326.5M	Benchmark Subject
OEC Orion S.A.	D+	52/100	—	19.9%	2.2%	+1.28%	$313.1M	/oec-vs-aspi →
NL NLI Holdings Inc.	D	44/100	—	30.4%	3.4%	-0.71%	$341.8M	/nl-vs-aspi →
GEVO Gevo Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-2.9%	-0.82%	$299.2M	/gevo-vs-aspi →
SLI Standard Lithium Ltd.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.33%	$358.0M	/sli-vs-aspi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001921865

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) reported GAAP revenue of $23.8M (+475.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.1M , and +5407.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$159.8M, operating cash flow of -$37.8M, and free cash flow of -$47.4M (-79.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASPI closed FY2025 with $498.0M in total assets against $1.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.72, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$23.8M	-$159.8M	-$37.8M	-$47.4M	$498.0M	$1.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.1M	-$32.4M	-$16.7M	-$26.4M	$94.3M	$1.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$433.0K	-$16.3M	-$5.4M	-$5.4M	—	—

3. ASPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ASP Isotopes Inc. (NASDAQ: ASPI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (+4.93% 1D, market cap $326.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASPI ranks #228 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASPI compare to OEC and NL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASPI carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OEC (Orion S.A.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $313.1M) and NL (NLI Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $341.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASPI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NL leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASPI?

Per ASPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001921865), ASP Isotopes Inc. generated $23.8M in revenue (+475.5% YoY), -$159.8M in net income, and -$47.4M in free cash flow against $498.0M in total assets and $1.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASPI last traded at $2.13 (+4.93% on volume of 3,806,839 shares), positioning the stock -28.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.98) and -56.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.85). Across its 52-week range of $1.89 to $10.14, ASPI sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.86 to $2.40).

ASPI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ASPI converted $23.8M of revenue into a 14.3% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASPI RQD Cockpit ASPI 12M Forecast ASPI Earnings & Move ASPI Dividends & DRIP ASPI Insiders & 13F ASPI Whale Options ASPI Profit Sankey ASPI News & Why