Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$5.43 +1.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.44

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.18B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AQN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AQN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (NYSE: AQN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $5.43 (+1.69% 1D, market cap $4.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AQN ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AQN compare to TAC and PAM in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AQN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, TAC (TransAlta Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.17B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AQN?
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Per AQN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001174169), Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. generated $2.43B in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $180.8M in net income, and $593.6M in free cash flow against $14.14B in total assets and $6.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.44 (+0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 24.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE AQN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AQN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AQN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$5.11+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$5.16+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$5.36+1.3% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$5.43+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AQN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, AQN faces multiple-compression risk if 23.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.33) or 200D SMA ($5.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.53) toward Bear Floor ($4.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AQN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AQN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AQN Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AQN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AQN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AQN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AQN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $5.34H $5.43L $5.34C $5.43VOL 3.86M
RES: $5.43SUP: $4.49SMA50: $5.33SMA200: $5.95
$6.66$6.19$5.71$5.24$4.76RES $5.43SUP $4.49$5.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AQN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AQN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AQN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AQN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AQN)

Utilities Rank #30 of 117 ⚔️ TAC vs AQN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AQN vs. TAC, PAM, ELC, OTTR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #60 by equity capitalization ($4.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with AQN at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AQN ACTIVE
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
C 62/100 23.1x — 3.7% +1.69% $4.18B Benchmark Subject
TAC
TransAlta Corporation
D+ 55/100 — — — +1.07% $4.17B /tac-vs-aqn →
PAM
Pampa Energia S.A.
D 46/100 — — — -0.46% $4.10B /pam-vs-aqn →
ELC
Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066
D- 43/100 — — — +0.72% $3.87B /elc-vs-aqn →
OTTR
Otter Tail Corporation
B- 71/100 13.8x — 18.5% +0.87% $3.80B /ottr-vs-aqn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001174169

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.43B (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.32B , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $180.8M, operating cash flow of $593.6M, and free cash flow of $593.6M (+23.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AQN closed FY2025 with $14.14B in total assets against $6.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.43B $180.8M $593.6M $593.6M $14.14B $6.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.32B -$1.38B $481.7M $481.7M $16.96B $6.21B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.40B $28.7M $628.0M $628.0M — —

3. AQN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AQN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (NYSE: AQN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $5.43 (+1.69% 1D, market cap $4.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AQN ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AQN compare to TAC and PAM in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AQN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, TAC (TransAlta Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.17B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AQN?

Per AQN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001174169), Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. generated $2.43B in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $180.8M in net income, and $593.6M in free cash flow against $14.14B in total assets and $6.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AQN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AQN last traded at $5.43 (+1.69% on volume of 3,861,431 shares), positioning the stock +1.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.33) and -8.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.95). Across its 52-week range of $4.91 to $7.11, AQN sits at the 23.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($5.22 to $5.64).

AQN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AQN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AQN leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

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