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Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$90.42 +0.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.39

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.39 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 29.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OTTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OTTR SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.6% FCF Margin ($386.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$87.46+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$90.13+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$90.49-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$90.42+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OTTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, OTTR faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.41) or 200D SMA ($88.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($92.86) toward Bear Floor ($72.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OTTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OTTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

54.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE78% OF RANGE

L: $74$90.42H: $95

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OTTR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

18.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.17% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (63)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OTTR

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OTTR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OTTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.32%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $91.07H $91.68L $90.06C $90.42VOL 199.9K

RES: $100.0SUP: $87.79SMA50: $89.41SMA200: $88.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OTTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OTTR Butterfly Map → + Track OTTR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OTTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OTTR)

Utilities Rank #22 of 117 ⚔️ ELC vs OTTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OTTR vs. ELC, KEN, PAM, TAC)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #65 by equity capitalization ($3.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OTTR ACTIVE Otter Tail Corporation	C	64/100	13.8x	—	18.5%	+0.87%	$3.80B	Benchmark Subject
ELC Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.72%	$3.87B	/elc-vs-ottr →
KEN Kenon Holdings Ltd.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+3.83%	$3.54B	/ken-vs-ottr →
PAM Pampa Energia S.A.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.46%	$4.10B	/pam-vs-ottr →
TAC TransAlta Corporation	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.07%	$4.17B	/tac-vs-ottr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466593

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (-2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.33B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $275.9M, operating cash flow of $386.0M, and free cash flow of $386.0M (-14.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OTTR closed FY2025 with $3.96B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.30B	$275.9M	$386.0M	$386.0M	$3.96B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.33B	$301.7M	$452.7M	$452.7M	$3.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.35B	$294.2M	$404.5M	$404.5M	—	—

3. OTTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OTTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ: OTTR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $90.42 (+0.87% 1D, market cap $3.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OTTR ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OTTR compare to ELC and KEN in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OTTR carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.5%. By comparison, ELC (Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.87B) and KEN (Kenon Holdings Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTTR?

Per OTTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466593), Otter Tail Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (-2.0% YoY), $275.9M in net income, and $386.0M in free cash flow against $3.96B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OTTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OTTR last traded at $90.42 (+0.87% on volume of 202,159 shares), positioning the stock +1.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.41) and +1.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.83). Across its 52-week range of $74.15 to $95.09, OTTR sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($87.53 to $93.31).

OTTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OTTR stock right now?

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is OTTR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OTTR's 12-month base price target is $92.86 (range $72.43 to $109.57), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OTTR RQD Cockpit OTTR 12M Forecast OTTR Earnings & Move OTTR Dividends & DRIP OTTR Insiders & 13F OTTR Whale Options OTTR Profit Sankey OTTR News & Why