Stock Ratings / Utilities / OTTR / earnings

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Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.2% Move

$90.42 +0.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.39

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.39 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 29.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OTTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OTTR SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.6% FCF Margin ($386.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$87.46+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$90.13+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$90.49-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$90.42+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OTTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, OTTR faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.41) or 200D SMA ($88.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($92.86) toward Bear Floor ($72.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OTTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OTTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.2% Swing Band

±$2.89 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OTTR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $6.57 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.30B	$275.9M	$386.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.33B	$301.7M	$452.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.35B	$294.2M	$404.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OTTR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OTTR
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OTTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.32%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $91.07H $91.68L $90.06C $90.42VOL 199.9K

RES: $100.0SUP: $87.79SMA50: $89.41SMA200: $88.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OTTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OTTR Butterfly Map → + Track OTTR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OTTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OTTR)

Utilities Rank #22 of 117 ⚔️ ELC vs OTTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OTTR vs. ELC, KEN, PAM, TAC)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #65 by equity capitalization ($3.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OTTR ACTIVE Otter Tail Corporation	C	64/100	13.8x	—	18.5%	+0.87%	$3.80B	Benchmark Subject
ELC Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.72%	$3.87B	/elc-vs-ottr →
KEN Kenon Holdings Ltd.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+3.83%	$3.54B	/ken-vs-ottr →
PAM Pampa Energia S.A.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.46%	$4.10B	/pam-vs-ottr →
TAC TransAlta Corporation	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.07%	$4.17B	/tac-vs-ottr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466593

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (-2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.33B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $275.9M, operating cash flow of $386.0M, and free cash flow of $386.0M (-14.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OTTR closed FY2025 with $3.96B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.30B	$275.9M	$386.0M	$386.0M	$3.96B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.33B	$301.7M	$452.7M	$452.7M	$3.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.35B	$294.2M	$404.5M	$404.5M	—	—

3. OTTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OTTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ: OTTR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $90.42 (+0.87% 1D, market cap $3.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OTTR ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OTTR compare to ELC and KEN in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OTTR carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.5%. By comparison, ELC (Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.87B) and KEN (Kenon Holdings Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTTR?

Per OTTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466593), Otter Tail Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (-2.0% YoY), $275.9M in net income, and $386.0M in free cash flow against $3.96B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OTTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OTTR last traded at $90.42 (+0.87% on volume of 202,159 shares), positioning the stock +1.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.41) and +1.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.83). Across its 52-week range of $74.15 to $95.09, OTTR sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($87.53 to $93.31).

OTTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OTTR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is OTTR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.2% event move for OTTR, spanning a range between $87.53 and $93.31.

Direct Sub-Reports: OTTR RQD Cockpit OTTR 12M Forecast OTTR Earnings & Move OTTR Dividends & DRIP OTTR Insiders & 13F OTTR Whale Options OTTR Profit Sankey OTTR News & Why