Stock Ratings / Utilities / AQN / forecast

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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.43 +1.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.46

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $4.18B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.46 (+0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 24.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AQN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AQN SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$5.11+2.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$5.25+3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$5.41+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$5.43+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AQN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, AQN faces multiple-compression risk if 23.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.33) or 200D SMA ($5.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.72) toward Bear Floor ($4.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AQN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AQN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AQN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.43: 1841.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.45

$8,195

$-1,805 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.72

$10,534

+$534 (+5.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.47

$13,757

+$3,757 (+37.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$6	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$5	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AQN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AQN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.54%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $5.43H $5.47L $5.41C $5.43VOL 2.48M

RES: $5.44SUP: $4.51SMA50: $5.33SMA200: $5.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AQN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AQN Butterfly Map → + Track AQN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AQN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AQN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AQN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AQN)

Utilities Rank #11 of 117 ⚔️ TAC vs AQN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AQN vs. TAC, PAM, ELC, OTTR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #60 by equity capitalization ($4.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. AQN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AQN ACTIVE Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.	B-	70/100	23.1x	—	3.7%	+1.69%	$4.18B	Benchmark Subject
TAC TransAlta Corporation	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.07%	$4.17B	/tac-vs-aqn →
PAM Pampa Energia S.A.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.46%	$4.10B	/pam-vs-aqn →
ELC Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.72%	$3.87B	/elc-vs-aqn →
OTTR Otter Tail Corporation	C	64/100	13.8x	—	18.5%	+0.87%	$3.80B	/ottr-vs-aqn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001174169

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.43B (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.32B , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $180.8M, operating cash flow of $593.6M, and free cash flow of $593.6M (+23.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AQN closed FY2025 with $14.14B in total assets against $6.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.43B	$180.8M	$593.6M	$593.6M	$14.14B	$6.17B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.32B	-$1.38B	$481.7M	$481.7M	$16.96B	$6.21B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.40B	$28.7M	$628.0M	$628.0M	—	—

3. AQN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AQN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (NYSE: AQN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $5.43 (+1.69% 1D, market cap $4.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AQN ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AQN compare to TAC and PAM in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AQN carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, TAC (TransAlta Corporation) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.17B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AQN?

Per AQN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001174169), Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. generated $2.43B in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $180.8M in net income, and $593.6M in free cash flow against $14.14B in total assets and $6.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AQN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AQN last traded at $5.43 (+1.69% on volume of 3,861,431 shares), positioning the stock +1.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.33) and -8.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.95). Across its 52-week range of $4.91 to $7.11, AQN sits at the 23.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($5.22 to $5.64).

AQN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AQN's 12-month stock price target?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.72 (+5.3% from $5.43), with a bull-case target of $7.47 and a bear-case floor of $4.45.

Is AQN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AQN B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 70/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AQN RQD Cockpit AQN 12M Forecast AQN Earnings & Move AQN Dividends & DRIP AQN Insiders & 13F AQN Whale Options AQN Profit Sankey AQN News & Why