Stock Ratings / Technology / AOSL / earnings

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Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

$24.71 +0.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.67

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $748.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.67 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AOSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AOSL SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$27.87-22% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$21.75+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$21.91+12.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$24.71-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AOSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AOSL currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.63) and Max Pain ($25.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $57.06.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AOSL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AOSL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.5% Swing Band

±$2.84 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AOSL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.9%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$696.2M	-$97.0M	-$7.5M	23.1%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$657.3M	-$11.1M	-$11.4M	26.2%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$691.3M	$12.4M	$20.5M	23.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AOSL)

✓Walkthrough of AOSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AOSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.10%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $23.29H $24.71L $22.10C $24.71VOL 581.5K

RES: $27.50SUP: $21.19SMA50: $25.63SMA200: $30.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AOSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AOSL Butterfly Map → + Track AOSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AOSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AOSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AOSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AOSL)

Technology Rank #495 of 714 ⚔️ KOPN vs AOSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AOSL vs. KOPN, DQ, TE, CSIQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) ranks #495 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #385 by equity capitalization ($748.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOSL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. TE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with AOSL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AOSL ACTIVE Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	D	44/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	+0.16%	$748.8M	Benchmark Subject
KOPN Kopin Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-20.8%	+3.33%	$749.1M	/kopn-vs-aosl →
DQ DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five	D-	41/100	—	-20.7%	-6.0%	+3.21%	$761.9M	/dq-vs-aosl →
TE T1 Energy Inc.	D+	55/100	—	7.4%	-35.0%	+8.74%	$856.6M	/te-vs-aosl →
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)	E	27/100	—	18.3%	2.4%	-2.50%	$634.1M	/csiq-vs-aosl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001387467

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) reported GAAP revenue of $696.2M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $657.3M , and +0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$97.0M, operating cash flow of $29.7M, and free cash flow of -$7.5M (+34.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AOSL closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $2.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.18, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$696.2M	-$97.0M	$29.7M	-$7.5M	$1.00B	$2.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$657.3M	-$11.1M	$25.7M	-$11.4M	$1.13B	$20.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$691.3M	$12.4M	$20.5M	$20.5M	—	—

3. AOSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AOSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (NASDAQ: AOSL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $24.71 (+0.16% 1D, market cap $748.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AOSL ranks #495 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AOSL compare to KOPN and DQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AOSL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, KOPN (Kopin Corporation) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $749.1M) and DQ (DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $761.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOSL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOSL?

Per AOSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001387467), Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited generated $696.2M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), -$97.0M in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AOSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AOSL last traded at $24.71 (+0.16% on volume of 407,041 shares), positioning the stock -3.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.63) and -18.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.49). Across its 52-week range of $17.01 to $54.34, AOSL sits at the 20.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($21.87 to $27.55).

AOSL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AOSL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is AOSL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.5% event move for AOSL, spanning a range between $21.87 and $27.55.

Direct Sub-Reports: AOSL RQD Cockpit AOSL 12M Forecast AOSL Earnings & Move AOSL Dividends & DRIP AOSL Insiders & 13F AOSL Whale Options AOSL Profit Sankey AOSL News & Why