Why AOMR Stock dropped -3.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$7.02 -3.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.96

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $169.0M
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As of 2026-11-02, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (NYSE: AOMR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $7.02 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $169.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AOMR ranks #801 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AOMR compare to CMTG and CHCI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AOMR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M) and CHCI (Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 24.4%, cap $192.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOMR?
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Per AOMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766478), Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $44.0M in net income, and -$407.0M in free cash flow against $2.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.96 (-0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE AOMR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AOMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AOMR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$7.26-1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$7.19+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$7.37-4.7% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$7.02-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AOMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AOMR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.68) and Max Pain ($7.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AOMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AOMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AOMR Stock dropped -3.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) dropped -3.57% to $7.02, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.96 – $9.48). Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.96 – $9.48) with RSI-14 at 38.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $7.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AOMR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 14d ago
Navigating This Income Market Sell-Off

Navigate the income market sell-off with risk management, scenario analysis and All-Weather allocation. Read the full analysis here.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AOMR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AOMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AOMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.60%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $7.35H $7.35L $6.99C $7.02VOL 113.8K
RES: $9.30SUP: $6.83SMA50: $7.68SMA200: $8.45
$9.46$8.79$8.11$7.43$6.75RES $9.30SUP $6.83$7.022026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AOMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AOMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AOMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AOMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AOMR)

Financials Rank #801 of 1096 ⚔️ CMTG vs AOMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AOMR vs. CMTG, CHCI, DOUG, BEEP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) ranks #801 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #914 by equity capitalization ($169.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with AOMR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AOMR ACTIVE
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.
D 46/100 3.8x — 16.5% -3.57% $169.0M Benchmark Subject
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.
E 34/100 — — -31.9% -2.54% $166.5M /cmtg-vs-aomr →
CHCI
Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 11.3x — 24.4% -3.85% $192.1M /chci-vs-aomr →
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
D 48/100 9.6x — 52.5% -3.12% $145.4M /doug-vs-aomr →
BEEP
Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
D- 40/100 — — -15.2% -0.39% $104.5M /beep-vs-aomr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001766478

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $44.0M, operating cash flow of -$407.0M, and free cash flow of -$407.0M (-83.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AOMR closed FY2025 with $2.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $44.0M -$407.0M -$407.0M $2.75B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $28.8M -$221.5M -$221.5M $2.27B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $33.7M $306.4M $306.4M — —

3. AOMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AOMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (NYSE: AOMR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $7.02 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $169.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AOMR ranks #801 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AOMR compare to CMTG and CHCI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AOMR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M) and CHCI (Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 24.4%, cap $192.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOMR?

Per AOMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766478), Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $44.0M in net income, and -$407.0M in free cash flow against $2.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AOMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AOMR last traded at $7.02 (-3.57% on volume of 113,894 shares), positioning the stock -8.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.68) and -16.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.45). Across its 52-week range of $6.96 to $9.48, AOMR sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($6.63 to $7.41).

AOMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is AOMR stock moving today?

Why AOMR Stock dropped -3.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AOMR — Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AOMR scores 46 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC 16.5%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 11/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is the Fundamental Cash Engine: a 0% FCF yield means the rating does not credit the company with generating free cash flow relative to its market value, even though the reported ROIC of 16.5% is a comparatively stronger figure. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is a low reading on the company's financial-health checklist, and the Altman Z of 2.5 sits in the range the source data places in the forensic balance-sheet pillar. The Macro Regime Fit pillar, with Beta of 1.0, indicates market-level rather than amplified sensitivity. Insider and institutional pillars are mid-range and mixed. Taken together, the source data frames the stock as an underperformer with distribution-related caution, and the low P/E (3.8 TTM) should be weighed against the reported negative FCF and weak forensic scores rather than read as an automatic valuation upside.

Business

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Real Estate industry, per the Profile. The source data does not describe the products sold, the customer base, or the specific revenue model. Not available in source data for detailed business mechanics beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$44.0MN/A$-407.0M$41.6MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$28.8MN/A$-221.5M$40.8MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$33.7MN/A$306.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income was $44.0M in FY 2025, $28.8M in FY 2024, and $33.7M in FY 2023, while free cash flow was $-407.0M, $-221.5M, and $306.4M respectively. Revenue and operating income are reported as $0.0M across the periods, so margin percentages are reported as 0% in the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. The reported ROIC is 16.5%. Cash was $41.6M at FY 2025 and $40.8M at FY 2024; debt is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news wire items reference AOMR, all rated YELLOW and labeled MARKET WIRE:

  • A Yahoo Finance item on setting the date for the Third Quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call (the most recent, about one hour before the data timestamp).
  • A TradingView item on estimates.
  • A report describing the stock edging higher to $7.37 as buyers defended $7.00 support, framed as post-earnings movement.
  • A Simply Wall St item on US mortgage REIT stocks and MBS yield pressure.
  • A Stock Traders Daily item on technical reactions to AOMR trends in macro strategies.
  • A TradingView item stating a Q3'26 EPS estimate of 0.32 USD.

Risk watch items are the reported negative FCF in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and the MBS yield pressure theme noted in the news. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drives the reported negative FCF in FY 2025 and FY 2024 despite positive reported net income?
  • What are the company's revenue and operating income figures, given they are reported as $0.0M?
  • What is the company's debt level, and how does it reconcile with the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What were the actual Q3 2026 results against the 0.32 EPS estimate once released?
  • Which institutional and insider holders are behind the mid-range pillar scores?

AOMR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AOMR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AOMR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.02?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AOMR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AOMR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $7.58 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AOMR (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $7.02?

Welcome to the AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Real Estate. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.55 (-20.9%)
Spot @ $7.02

Pump the brakes on AOMR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AOMR, but look at what you are paying: 3.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.35 (+18.9%)
Spot @ $7.02

AOMR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AOMR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.02 (52-wk range $6.96 - $9.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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