Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$7.02 -3.57% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.96

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $169.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AOMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (NYSE: AOMR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $7.02 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $169.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AOMR ranks #801 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AOMR compare to CMTG and CHCI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AOMR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M) and CHCI (Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 24.4%, cap $192.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOMR?
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Per AOMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766478), Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $44.0M in net income, and -$407.0M in free cash flow against $2.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.96 (-0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AOMR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AOMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AOMR SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$7.26-1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$7.19+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$7.37-4.7% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$7.02-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AOMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AOMR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.68) and Max Pain ($7.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.95.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AOMRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAOMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AOMR Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AOMR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AOMR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AOMR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AOMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AOMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.60%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $7.35H $7.35L $6.99C $7.02VOL 113.8K
RES: $9.30SUP: $6.83SMA50: $7.68SMA200: $8.45
$9.46$8.79$8.11$7.43$6.75RES $9.30SUP $6.83$7.022026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AOMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AOMR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AOMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AOMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AOMR)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AOMR vs. CMTG, CHCI, DOUG, BEEP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) ranks #801 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #914 by equity capitalization ($169.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CHCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with AOMR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AOMR ACTIVE
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.
D 46/100 3.8x β€” 16.5% -3.57% $169.0M Benchmark Subject
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” -31.9% -2.54% $166.5M /cmtg-vs-aomr β†’
CHCI
Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 11.3x β€” 24.4% -3.85% $192.1M /chci-vs-aomr β†’
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
D 48/100 9.6x β€” 52.5% -3.12% $145.4M /doug-vs-aomr β†’
BEEP
Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -15.2% -0.39% $104.5M /beep-vs-aomr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001766478

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (AOMR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $44.0M, operating cash flow of -$407.0M, and free cash flow of -$407.0M (-83.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AOMR closed FY2025 with $2.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $44.0M -$407.0M -$407.0M $2.75B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $28.8M -$221.5M -$221.5M $2.27B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $33.7M $306.4M $306.4M β€” β€”

3. AOMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AOMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. (NYSE: AOMR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $7.02 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $169.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AOMR ranks #801 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AOMR compare to CMTG and CHCI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AOMR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M) and CHCI (Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 24.4%, cap $192.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOMR?

Per AOMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766478), Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $44.0M in net income, and -$407.0M in free cash flow against $2.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AOMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AOMR last traded at $7.02 (-3.57% on volume of 113,894 shares), positioning the stock -8.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.68) and -16.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.45). Across its 52-week range of $6.96 to $9.48, AOMR sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.6% ($6.63 to $7.41).

AOMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are AOMR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AOMR leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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