Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While AMTX currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.72) and Max Pain ($1.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.99.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) slipped -0.77% to $1.29, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($1.18 – $3.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CUPERTINO, Calif., Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX) announced that the company will host a conference call to review the release of its third quarter 2026 earnings report: Date: Thursday, No
CUPERTINO, Calif., Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX), a diversified renewable natural gas and biofuels company, announced today that its Aemetis Biogas subsidiary has completed construction a
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) ranks #249 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #230 by equity capitalization ($93.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with AMTX at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMTX
ACTIVE
Aemetis Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | -0.4% | -35.0% | -0.77% | $93.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| FSI Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA) | D | 48/100 | 101.5x | 32.6% | 8.5% | -3.40% | $79.8M | /fsi-vs-amtx → |
| ARQ Arq Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -24.6% | -4.32% | $77.3M | /arq-vs-amtx → |
| LNZA LanzaTech Global Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.72% | $73.0M | /lnza-vs-amtx → |
| LODE Comstock Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | -30.0% | -33.3% | -5.85% | $122.3M | /lode-vs-amtx → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) reported GAAP revenue of $208.0M (-22.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $267.6M , and +169.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$77.0M, operating cash flow of $3.3M, and free cash flow of -$22.7M (+57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTX closed FY2025 with $259.8M in total assets against $63.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $208.0M | -$77.0M | $3.3M | -$22.7M | $259.8M | $63.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $267.6M | -$87.5M | -$32.9M | -$53.2M | $259.3M | $247.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $77.2M | -$46.4M | $13.8M | $13.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Aemetis Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.29 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $93.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AMTX ranks #249 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), AMTX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -0.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $79.8M) and ARQ (Arq Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $77.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).
Per AMTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000738214), Aemetis Inc. generated $208.0M in revenue (-22.3% YoY), -$77.0M in net income, and -$22.7M in free cash flow against $259.8M in total assets and $63.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AMTX last traded at $1.29 (-0.77% on volume of 578,992 shares), positioning the stock -25.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.72) and -34.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.97). Across its 52-week range of $1.18 to $3.80, AMTX sits at the 4.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.13 to $1.45).
Why AMTX Stock slipped -0.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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