Stock Ratings / Materials / AMTX / insiders

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Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Are AMTX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AMTX leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

$1.29 -0.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.29

Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $93.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.29 (-0.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMTX SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.66-12% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.46-11% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.30-0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.29-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMTX currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.72) and Max Pain ($1.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AMTX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AMTX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AMTX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMTX)

✓Walkthrough of AMTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.05%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.28H $1.29L $1.22C $1.29VOL 634.8K

RES: $2.44SUP: $1.15SMA50: $1.72SMA200: $1.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMTX Butterfly Map → + Track AMTX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMTX)

Materials Rank #249 of 270 ⚔️ FSI vs AMTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AMTX vs. FSI, ARQ, LNZA, LODE)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) ranks #249 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #230 by equity capitalization ($93.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with AMTX at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMTX ACTIVE Aemetis Inc.	E	34/100	—	-0.4%	-35.0%	-0.77%	$93.1M	Benchmark Subject
FSI Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)	D	48/100	101.5x	32.6%	8.5%	-3.40%	$79.8M	/fsi-vs-amtx →
ARQ Arq Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-24.6%	-4.32%	$77.3M	/arq-vs-amtx →
LNZA LanzaTech Global Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	+7.72%	$73.0M	/lnza-vs-amtx →
LODE Comstock Inc.	E	24/100	—	-30.0%	-33.3%	-5.85%	$122.3M	/lode-vs-amtx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000738214

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) reported GAAP revenue of $208.0M (-22.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $267.6M , and +169.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$77.0M, operating cash flow of $3.3M, and free cash flow of -$22.7M (+57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTX closed FY2025 with $259.8M in total assets against $63.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$208.0M	-$77.0M	$3.3M	-$22.7M	$259.8M	$63.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$267.6M	-$87.5M	-$32.9M	-$53.2M	$259.3M	$247.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$77.2M	-$46.4M	$13.8M	$13.8M	—	—

3. AMTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aemetis Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.29 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $93.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AMTX ranks #249 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMTX compare to FSI and ARQ in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), AMTX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -0.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $79.8M) and ARQ (Arq Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $77.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTX?

Per AMTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000738214), Aemetis Inc. generated $208.0M in revenue (-22.3% YoY), -$77.0M in net income, and -$22.7M in free cash flow against $259.8M in total assets and $63.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMTX last traded at $1.29 (-0.77% on volume of 578,992 shares), positioning the stock -25.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.72) and -34.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.97). Across its 52-week range of $1.18 to $3.80, AMTX sits at the 4.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.13 to $1.45).

AMTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AMTX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AMTX leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMTX RQD Cockpit AMTX 12M Forecast AMTX Earnings & Move AMTX Dividends & DRIP AMTX Insiders & 13F AMTX Whale Options AMTX Profit Sankey AMTX News & Why