Stock Ratings / Financials / AMTD / options

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AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

Q: What is AMTD's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AMTD.

$20.68 +1.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.71

AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $33.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.71 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 16.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMTD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMTD SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$30.66-2.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$29.88-14.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$25.56-19.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$20.68+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMTD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AMTD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.78) or 200D SMA ($53.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.77) toward Bear Floor ($16.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMTD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMTD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AMTD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AMTD.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AMTD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AMTD
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AMTD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $20.87H $21.60L $19.64C $20.68VOL 4.4K

RES: $45.74SUP: $15.29SMA50: $38.78SMA200: $53.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMTD Butterfly Map → + Track AMTD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMTD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMTD)

Financials Rank #588 of 1096 ⚔️ CNF vs AMTD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AMTD vs. CNF, JFU, MI, AURE)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) ranks #588 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #1032 by equity capitalization ($33.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMTD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AMTD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMTD ACTIVE AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	4.9%	+1.85%	$33.0M	Benchmark Subject
CNF CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200)	D+	57/100	—	—	—	+8.33%	$34.7M	/cnf-vs-amtd →
JFU 9F Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	0.3%	-0.76%	$30.6M	/jfu-vs-amtd →
MI NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share	E	31/100	—	—	-0.9%	-2.47%	$35.7M	/mi-vs-amtd →
AURE Aurelion Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+5.45%	$36.9M	/aure-vs-amtd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001769731

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) reported GAAP revenue of $101.2M (+25.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $80.5M , and -22.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $67.3M, operating cash flow of $17.8M, and free cash flow of $17.1M (+231.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTD closed FY2025 with $2.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$101.2M	$67.3M	$17.8M	$17.1M	$2.30B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$80.5M	$53.6M	$5.2M	$5.2M	$2.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$130.9M	$153.4M	$40.0M	$40.0M	—	—

3. AMTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (NYSE: AMTD) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $20.68 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $33.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AMTD ranks #588 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMTD compare to CNF and JFU in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AMTD carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, CNF (CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $34.7M) and JFU (9F Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $30.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMTD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTD?

Per AMTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001769731), AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) generated $101.2M in revenue (+25.8% YoY), $67.3M in net income, and $17.1M in free cash flow against $2.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMTD last traded at $20.68 (+1.85% on volume of 2,025 shares), positioning the stock -46.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.78) and -61.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.13). Across its 52-week range of $19.64 to $77.40, AMTD sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($18.10 to $23.26).

AMTD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AMTD's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AMTD.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMTD RQD Cockpit AMTD 12M Forecast AMTD Earnings & Move AMTD Dividends & DRIP AMTD Insiders & 13F AMTD Whale Options AMTD Profit Sankey AMTD News & Why