Stock Ratings / Financials / AMTD / earnings

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AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: When is AMTD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is AMTD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for AMTD, spanning a range between $18.1 and $23.26.

$20.68 +1.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.71

AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $33.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.71 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 16.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMTD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMTD SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$30.66-2.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$29.88-14.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$25.56-19.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$20.68+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMTD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AMTD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.78) or 200D SMA ($53.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.77) toward Bear Floor ($16.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMTD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMTD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$2.58 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AMTD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 25.8%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$101.2M	$67.3M	$17.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$80.5M	$53.6M	$5.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$130.9M	$153.4M	$40.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AMTD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AMTD
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMTD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $20.87H $21.60L $19.64C $20.68VOL 4.4K

RES: $45.74SUP: $15.29SMA50: $38.78SMA200: $53.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMTD Butterfly Map → + Track AMTD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMTD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMTD)

Financials Rank #588 of 1096 ⚔️ CNF vs AMTD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AMTD vs. CNF, JFU, MI, AURE)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) ranks #588 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #1032 by equity capitalization ($33.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMTD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AMTD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMTD ACTIVE AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	4.9%	+1.85%	$33.0M	Benchmark Subject
CNF CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200)	D+	57/100	—	—	—	+8.33%	$34.7M	/cnf-vs-amtd →
JFU 9F Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	0.3%	-0.76%	$30.6M	/jfu-vs-amtd →
MI NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share	E	31/100	—	—	-0.9%	-2.47%	$35.7M	/mi-vs-amtd →
AURE Aurelion Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+5.45%	$36.9M	/aure-vs-amtd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001769731

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) reported GAAP revenue of $101.2M (+25.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $80.5M , and -22.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $67.3M, operating cash flow of $17.8M, and free cash flow of $17.1M (+231.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTD closed FY2025 with $2.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$101.2M	$67.3M	$17.8M	$17.1M	$2.30B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$80.5M	$53.6M	$5.2M	$5.2M	$2.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$130.9M	$153.4M	$40.0M	$40.0M	—	—

3. AMTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (NYSE: AMTD) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $20.68 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $33.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AMTD ranks #588 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMTD compare to CNF and JFU in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AMTD carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, CNF (CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $34.7M) and JFU (9F Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $30.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMTD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTD?

Per AMTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001769731), AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) generated $101.2M in revenue (+25.8% YoY), $67.3M in net income, and $17.1M in free cash flow against $2.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMTD last traded at $20.68 (+1.85% on volume of 2,025 shares), positioning the stock -46.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.78) and -61.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.13). Across its 52-week range of $19.64 to $77.40, AMTD sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($18.10 to $23.26).

AMTD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AMTD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AMTD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for AMTD, spanning a range between $18.1 and $23.26.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMTD RQD Cockpit AMTD 12M Forecast AMTD Earnings & Move AMTD Dividends & DRIP AMTD Insiders & 13F AMTD Whale Options AMTD Profit Sankey AMTD News & Why