Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 57% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, AMBP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.68) or 200D SMA ($4.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.59) toward Bear Floor ($3.58).
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) advanced +0.67% to $4.53, trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($3.29 – $5.47). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) drew fresh attention on 22 October 2026 after reporting third quarter and nine month earnings, alongside a board decision to declare a quarterly interim dividend. Ardagh Metal Packaging’s la
Ardagh Metal Packaging has delivered a 3 year share price gain that would have caught many investors' attention, and the question now is whether the current US$4.53 price lines up with the cash flows that the business ca
Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) reported strong Q3 2026 earnings, coming in ahead of its earlier guidance. Management upgraded full year 2026 EBITDA guidance, citing firm demand trends in beverage cans. The group plan
UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $4.5 to $4.75.
Operating earnings were level with prior-year period on a reported basis but slipped by 2% when measured at constant currency.
European capacity expansion accelerates as management upgrades full-year guidance.
Moby summary of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMBP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMBP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) ranks #152 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #189 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLGN leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while CCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CCK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with AMBP at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBP
ACTIVE
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.67% | $2.71B | Benchmark Subject |
| SLGN Silgan Holdings Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 14.5x | 17.7% | 5.7% | +4.11% | $4.17B | /slgn-vs-ambp → |
| LWLG Lightwave Logic Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 96.0% | -35.0% | -2.76% | $706.1M | /lwlg-vs-ambp → |
| CCK Crown Holdings Inc. | B | 72/100 | 17.3x | — | 16.1% | +1.68% | $12.77B | /cck-vs-ambp → |
| BALL Ball Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 32.8x | — | 5.2% | +1.96% | $17.07B | /ball-vs-ambp → |
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) operates in Containers/Packaging (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $2.71B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
As of 2026-11-01, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE: AMBP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $4.53 (+0.67% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AMBP ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Containers/Packaging), AMBP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $4.17B) and LWLG (Lightwave Logic Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $706.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLGN leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CCK leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).
For Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #152 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AMBP last traded at $4.53 (+0.67% on volume of 943,314 shares), positioning the stock -3.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.68) and +1.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.48). Across its 52-week range of $3.29 to $5.47, AMBP sits at the 56.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($4.23 to $4.83).
Why AMBP Stock advanced +0.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.