Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALSN / earnings

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Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$109.98 +0.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.08B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$6.49 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ALSN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $7.54 • YoY Revenue Growth: -6.7%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$3.01B	$623.0M	$661.0M	48.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$3.23B	$731.0M	$658.0M	47.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$3.04B	$673.0M	$647.4M	48.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ALSN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ALSN
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ALSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $109.3H $110.0L $109.3C $110.0VOL 664.6K

RES: $135.5SUP: $105.3SMA50: $117.3SMA200: $118.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALSN Butterfly Map → + Track ALSN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALSN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #184 of 304 ⚔️ APTV vs ALSN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALSN vs. APTV, ALV, BWA, MOD)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #178 by equity capitalization ($9.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ALSN at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALSN ACTIVE Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.	C-	60/100	14.6x	48.6%	21.3%	+0.62%	$9.08B	Benchmark Subject
APTV Aptiv PLC	D	51/100	55.9x	19.1%	6.2%	+0.79%	$9.23B	/aptv-vs-alsn →
ALV Autoliv Inc.	C+	69/100	11.5x	19.2%	23.2%	+1.21%	$8.42B	/alv-vs-alsn →
BWA BorgWarner Inc.	D-	37/100	39.2x	18.7%	5.5%	-4.70%	$10.86B	/bwa-vs-alsn →
MOD Modine Manufacturing Company	D+	54/100	60.8x	23.0%	17.0%	-3.31%	$7.38B	/mod-vs-alsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001411207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.01B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.23B , and -0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $623.0M, operating cash flow of $836.0M, and free cash flow of $661.0M (+0.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALSN closed FY2025 with $6.08B in total assets against $2.88B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.61, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.01B	$623.0M	$836.0M	$661.0M	$6.08B	$2.88B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.23B	$731.0M	$801.0M	$658.0M	$5.34B	$2.40B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.04B	$673.0M	$784.0M	$647.4M	$5.00B	$1.17B

3. ALSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $109.98 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $9.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALSN ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALSN compare to APTV and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ALSN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.6x, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, APTV (Aptiv PLC) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 55.9x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $9.23B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALSN?

Per ALSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001411207), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. generated $3.01B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $623.0M in net income, and $661.0M in free cash flow against $6.08B in total assets and $2.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALSN last traded at $109.98 (+0.62% on volume of 664,623 shares), positioning the stock -6.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($117.28) and -7.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($118.47). Across its 52-week range of $78.19 to $137.62, ALSN sits at the 53.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($103.49 to $116.47).

ALSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ALSN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ALSN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for ALSN, spanning a range between $103.49 and $116.47.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALSN RQD Cockpit ALSN 12M Forecast ALSN Earnings & Move ALSN Dividends & DRIP ALSN Insiders & 13F ALSN Whale Options ALSN Profit Sankey ALSN News & Why