Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$109.98 +0.62% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.08B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$145 Bull$114 Base$89 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $108.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ALSN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$661.0M (22% FCF Margin)
Revenue$3.01BGross Profit $1.46B (48.6%)Cost of Sales $1.55BOp Profit $880.0M (29.2%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $583.0MNet Profit$623.0M (20.7%)Tax/Other $257.0M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $3.04B
FY24
Rev $3.23B
FY25
Rev $3.01B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$3.01B48.6%29.2%$623.0M$661.0M21.3%
FY 2024$3.23B47.4%30.8%$731.0M$658.0M24%
FY 2023$3.04B44%30.3%$673.0M$647.4M24.1%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring ALSN)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of ALSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ALSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $108.7H $109.4L $106.7C $108.1VOL 656.7K
RES: $144.0SUP: $105.3SMA50: $117.8SMA200: $118.5
$138.4$127.9$117.5$107.1$96.63RES $144.0SUP $105.3$108.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ALSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ALSN converted $3.0B of revenue into a 48.6% gross margin, 29.2% operating margin, and $661.0M in free cash flow (22% FCF margin).