Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$109.98 +0.62% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.08B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$145 Bull$114 Base$89 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $108.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
56% Calls / 44% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.79x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$108.00
-1.8% vs. current $109.98 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.8%
Expected event band around $109.98

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ALSN)

$100
6,313C / 11,538P
$105
6,313C / 11,538P
$110
14,764C / 11,538P
$115
14,764C / 4,987P
$120
14,764C / 4,987P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading ALSN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on ALSN this week
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ALSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $108.7H $109.4L $106.7C $108.1VOL 656.7K
RES: $144.0SUP: $105.3SMA50: $117.8SMA200: $118.5
$138.4$127.9$117.5$107.1$96.63RES $144.0SUP $105.3$108.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ALSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ALSN's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in ALSN show 56% bullish call premium versus 44% put premium, centered near a $108 max-pain strike.